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Open, Contingent, Adaptive and Reactive Resilience: Using ABM and other tools to facilitate our collective survival in an uncertain world

Open, Contingent, Adaptive and Reactive Resilience: Using ABM and other tools to facilitate our collective survival in an uncertain world
Open, Contingent, Adaptive and Reactive Resilience: Using ABM and other tools to facilitate our collective survival in an uncertain world
This work puts forward a particular perspective on achieving resilience in the face of deep uncertainty due to complex systems. In principle, various ways of lacking knowledge about the behaviour of the enveloping system and its agents, can make traditional planning approaches ineffective. This calls for resilient strategies that can adapt to achieve their goals, or simply survive, in view of unexpected shocks. We distinguish different types of situations in which different strategies might be helpful and propose requirements for a new strategy suitable for deep uncertainty, what we call Open, Contingent, Adaptive and Reactive Resilience (OCARR).
Policy Making, disaster avoidance, adaptation, deep uncertainty, ABM, Visualisation, monitoring, risk, adaptative governance, Resilience
Edmonds, Bruce
ff03a1fe-452e-447a-97c0-c1069269732c
Yazdanpanah, Vahid
28f82058-5e51-4f56-be14-191ab5767d56
Edmonds, Bruce
ff03a1fe-452e-447a-97c0-c1069269732c
Yazdanpanah, Vahid
28f82058-5e51-4f56-be14-191ab5767d56

Edmonds, Bruce and Yazdanpanah, Vahid (2021) Open, Contingent, Adaptive and Reactive Resilience: Using ABM and other tools to facilitate our collective survival in an uncertain world. 16th annual Social Simulation Conference, Virtual, Kraków, Poland. 20 - 24 Sep 2021. (In Press)

Record type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)

Abstract

This work puts forward a particular perspective on achieving resilience in the face of deep uncertainty due to complex systems. In principle, various ways of lacking knowledge about the behaviour of the enveloping system and its agents, can make traditional planning approaches ineffective. This calls for resilient strategies that can adapt to achieve their goals, or simply survive, in view of unexpected shocks. We distinguish different types of situations in which different strategies might be helpful and propose requirements for a new strategy suitable for deep uncertainty, what we call Open, Contingent, Adaptive and Reactive Resilience (OCARR).

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socsim 2021 - occar - Accepted Manuscript
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More information

Accepted/In Press date: 20 September 2021
Venue - Dates: 16th annual Social Simulation Conference, Virtual, Kraków, Poland, 2021-09-20 - 2021-09-24
Keywords: Policy Making, disaster avoidance, adaptation, deep uncertainty, ABM, Visualisation, monitoring, risk, adaptative governance, Resilience

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 451209
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/451209
PURE UUID: 7cd87d80-a21a-4c10-8094-7621e6840d39
ORCID for Vahid Yazdanpanah: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-4468-6193

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 14 Sep 2021 16:35
Last modified: 16 Sep 2021 11:14

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