What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK?
What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK?
Predicting future numbers of births is important for planning, for example, for maternity services, schools, and financial commitments through the welfare system. The Covid-19 pandemic has made it much harder to predict human behaviour, making it difficult to accurately estimate how the pandemic will affect future fertility rates.
This policy briefing examines the most recent data on live births to determine what the impact of Covid-19 has been on fertility in the countries of the UK, and then summarises findings from some scenario-based projections of fertility between 2021 and 2023.
Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, birth rates in the UK had already declined to historically low levels. Using scenarios grounded in historical evidence, the majority of the outcomes we present in this policy briefing also
predict a future short-term decline in fertility rates. This policy briefing provides an overview of the key findings of a Population, Space and Place article available at https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2546
ESRC Centre for Population Change
Berrington, Ann
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Ellison, Joanne
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Kuang, Bernice
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Vasireddy, Sindhu
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Kulu, Hill
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11 January 2022
Berrington, Ann
bd0fc093-310d-4236-8126-ca0c7eb9ddde
Ellison, Joanne
d1560ac9-2c6c-49e8-b5c4-aa2258624e97
Kuang, Bernice
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Vasireddy, Sindhu
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Kulu, Hill
439546b3-673f-43b9-af83-ca81b7e65e51
Berrington, Ann, Ellison, Joanne, Kuang, Bernice, Vasireddy, Sindhu and Kulu, Hill
(2022)
What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK?
(Centre for Population Change Policy Briefing)
ESRC Centre for Population Change
4pp.
Record type:
Monograph
(Project Report)
Abstract
Predicting future numbers of births is important for planning, for example, for maternity services, schools, and financial commitments through the welfare system. The Covid-19 pandemic has made it much harder to predict human behaviour, making it difficult to accurately estimate how the pandemic will affect future fertility rates.
This policy briefing examines the most recent data on live births to determine what the impact of Covid-19 has been on fertility in the countries of the UK, and then summarises findings from some scenario-based projections of fertility between 2021 and 2023.
Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, birth rates in the UK had already declined to historically low levels. Using scenarios grounded in historical evidence, the majority of the outcomes we present in this policy briefing also
predict a future short-term decline in fertility rates. This policy briefing provides an overview of the key findings of a Population, Space and Place article available at https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2546
Text
2022_PB66_What_is_the_likely_impact_of_COVID19_on_fertility_in_the_UK
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Published date: 11 January 2022
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 454339
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/454339
PURE UUID: f15e10a9-d0ac-4ede-a0d4-371c20c2a482
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Date deposited: 07 Feb 2022 17:51
Last modified: 14 Dec 2024 03:03
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Contributors
Author:
Bernice Kuang
Author:
Sindhu Vasireddy
Author:
Hill Kulu
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