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What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK?

What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK?
What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK?
Predicting future numbers of births is important for planning, for example, for maternity services, schools, and financial commitments through the welfare system. The Covid-19 pandemic has made it much harder to predict human behaviour, making it difficult to accurately estimate how the pandemic will affect future fertility rates.
This policy briefing examines the most recent data on live births to determine what the impact of Covid-19 has been on fertility in the countries of the UK, and then summarises findings from some scenario-based projections of fertility between 2021 and 2023.
Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, birth rates in the UK had already declined to historically low levels. Using scenarios grounded in historical evidence, the majority of the outcomes we present in this policy briefing also
predict a future short-term decline in fertility rates. This policy briefing provides an overview of the key findings of a Population, Space and Place article available at https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2546
ESRC Centre for Population Change
Berrington, Ann
bd0fc093-310d-4236-8126-ca0c7eb9ddde
Ellison, Joanne
d1560ac9-2c6c-49e8-b5c4-aa2258624e97
Kuang, Bernice
0d9a40c9-11d3-463e-8b1a-ce0c9880485d
Vasireddy, Sindhu
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Kulu, Hill
439546b3-673f-43b9-af83-ca81b7e65e51
Berrington, Ann
bd0fc093-310d-4236-8126-ca0c7eb9ddde
Ellison, Joanne
d1560ac9-2c6c-49e8-b5c4-aa2258624e97
Kuang, Bernice
0d9a40c9-11d3-463e-8b1a-ce0c9880485d
Vasireddy, Sindhu
1006ae22-8b57-4d45-a998-b277018310ff
Kulu, Hill
439546b3-673f-43b9-af83-ca81b7e65e51

Berrington, Ann, Ellison, Joanne, Kuang, Bernice, Vasireddy, Sindhu and Kulu, Hill (2022) What is the likely impact of Covid-19 on fertility in the UK? (Centre for Population Change Policy Briefing) ESRC Centre for Population Change 4pp.

Record type: Monograph (Project Report)

Abstract

Predicting future numbers of births is important for planning, for example, for maternity services, schools, and financial commitments through the welfare system. The Covid-19 pandemic has made it much harder to predict human behaviour, making it difficult to accurately estimate how the pandemic will affect future fertility rates.
This policy briefing examines the most recent data on live births to determine what the impact of Covid-19 has been on fertility in the countries of the UK, and then summarises findings from some scenario-based projections of fertility between 2021 and 2023.
Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, birth rates in the UK had already declined to historically low levels. Using scenarios grounded in historical evidence, the majority of the outcomes we present in this policy briefing also
predict a future short-term decline in fertility rates. This policy briefing provides an overview of the key findings of a Population, Space and Place article available at https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2546

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Published date: 11 January 2022

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 454339
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/454339
PURE UUID: f15e10a9-d0ac-4ede-a0d4-371c20c2a482
ORCID for Ann Berrington: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-6668
ORCID for Joanne Ellison: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-6973-8797

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 07 Feb 2022 17:51
Last modified: 31 Jan 2023 03:04

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Contributors

Author: Ann Berrington ORCID iD
Author: Joanne Ellison ORCID iD
Author: Bernice Kuang
Author: Sindhu Vasireddy
Author: Hill Kulu

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