Terror headlines and voting
Terror headlines and voting
This paper studies the impact of media on support for right-wing populism. We collect data on headlines about ISIS and terrorism in the context of the Syrian crisis from major national news sources in England for the period 2013 to 2019. Based on these, we develop the Terror News Index, which measures the relative frequency of daily news on terror, and match it with individual panel data from Understanding Society. We estimate fixed-effects model of the probability of supporting UKIP – the major right-wing populist party in England at the time – as a function of the Terror News Index and find that an interquartile increase of TNI results in a 3.6% higher probability of supporting UKIP. The estimated effect is
particularly large among UK-born older people, the unemployed and individuals with relatively low levels of education.
ESRC Centre for Population Change
Ghazaryan, Armine
3c3c86bf-8a93-4669-b027-15124c349332
Giulietti, Corrado
c662221c-fad3-4456-bfe3-78f8a5211158
Wahba, Jackline
03ae9304-c329-40c6-9bfc-d91cfa9e7164
7 March 2022
Ghazaryan, Armine
3c3c86bf-8a93-4669-b027-15124c349332
Giulietti, Corrado
c662221c-fad3-4456-bfe3-78f8a5211158
Wahba, Jackline
03ae9304-c329-40c6-9bfc-d91cfa9e7164
Ghazaryan, Armine, Giulietti, Corrado and Wahba, Jackline
(2022)
Terror headlines and voting
(ESRC Centre for Population Change Working Paper Series, 98)
ESRC Centre for Population Change
25pp.
Record type:
Monograph
(Working Paper)
Abstract
This paper studies the impact of media on support for right-wing populism. We collect data on headlines about ISIS and terrorism in the context of the Syrian crisis from major national news sources in England for the period 2013 to 2019. Based on these, we develop the Terror News Index, which measures the relative frequency of daily news on terror, and match it with individual panel data from Understanding Society. We estimate fixed-effects model of the probability of supporting UKIP – the major right-wing populist party in England at the time – as a function of the Terror News Index and find that an interquartile increase of TNI results in a 3.6% higher probability of supporting UKIP. The estimated effect is
particularly large among UK-born older people, the unemployed and individuals with relatively low levels of education.
Text
WP98_Terror_Headlines_and_Voting (2)
- Version of Record
More information
Published date: 7 March 2022
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 455796
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/455796
PURE UUID: 2e2cc127-3bd0-48a9-a2ce-e3b4a8b01195
Catalogue record
Date deposited: 04 Apr 2022 16:50
Last modified: 17 Mar 2024 03:05
Export record
Contributors
Author:
Armine Ghazaryan
Download statistics
Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.
View more statistics
