Fertility dynamics in Ethiopia : a multi-faceted analysis
Fertility dynamics in Ethiopia : a multi-faceted analysis
The study was intended to look at the status of the fertility transition in the ‘Rest’ of Ethiopia in comparison with the much touted transition to below-replacement fertility level in Addis Ababa.
The study of prerequisites such as marriage and fertility preference were also carried out. Beginning with a trend analysis, the study employed various modelling techniques that included design-based, event history/survival, decomposition, multivariate and multilevel modelling as well as principal components analysis. The Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (ETDHS 2000) was the main source of the data. However, data from the 1984 and 1994 Censuses and the 1990 Family and Fertility Survey (FFS 1990) were systematically used despite the difficulty in comparison due to the change in the sample frame since early 1980s.
Education, household wealth status and housing status are identified as the most important factors influencing ‘time to marriage’, ‘desire for additional children’ and ‘actual fertility’.
Education was identified as the single most important factor with a strong positive/delaying effect on marriage, depressing/negative effect on fertility intentions and actual fertility. The reason why it has such strong effect in Addis Ababa and less so in the ‘Rest’ is attributed to the contextual nature in which it operates, interplay with modernization in the capital city and with culture in the ‘Rest’.
One of the main findings is that some of the poverty indicators such as lower household assets index and not having own house were consistently related to shorter time to first marriage, less desire for additional children and fewer number of children born in Addis Ababa. These findings suggest the fertility decline in Addis Ababa has likely been poverty induced while cultural forces have likely constricted the transition in the ‘Rest’ of Ethiopia.
University of Southampton
Desta, Muluye S
8d20f1a9-70f0-45f4-8988-26b2aec23cf9
2007
Desta, Muluye S
8d20f1a9-70f0-45f4-8988-26b2aec23cf9
Desta, Muluye S
(2007)
Fertility dynamics in Ethiopia : a multi-faceted analysis.
University of Southampton, Doctoral Thesis.
Record type:
Thesis
(Doctoral)
Abstract
The study was intended to look at the status of the fertility transition in the ‘Rest’ of Ethiopia in comparison with the much touted transition to below-replacement fertility level in Addis Ababa.
The study of prerequisites such as marriage and fertility preference were also carried out. Beginning with a trend analysis, the study employed various modelling techniques that included design-based, event history/survival, decomposition, multivariate and multilevel modelling as well as principal components analysis. The Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (ETDHS 2000) was the main source of the data. However, data from the 1984 and 1994 Censuses and the 1990 Family and Fertility Survey (FFS 1990) were systematically used despite the difficulty in comparison due to the change in the sample frame since early 1980s.
Education, household wealth status and housing status are identified as the most important factors influencing ‘time to marriage’, ‘desire for additional children’ and ‘actual fertility’.
Education was identified as the single most important factor with a strong positive/delaying effect on marriage, depressing/negative effect on fertility intentions and actual fertility. The reason why it has such strong effect in Addis Ababa and less so in the ‘Rest’ is attributed to the contextual nature in which it operates, interplay with modernization in the capital city and with culture in the ‘Rest’.
One of the main findings is that some of the poverty indicators such as lower household assets index and not having own house were consistently related to shorter time to first marriage, less desire for additional children and fewer number of children born in Addis Ababa. These findings suggest the fertility decline in Addis Ababa has likely been poverty induced while cultural forces have likely constricted the transition in the ‘Rest’ of Ethiopia.
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Published date: 2007
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Local EPrints ID: 466331
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/466331
PURE UUID: dd35ab48-e913-4434-991a-fec020fabb0d
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Date deposited: 05 Jul 2022 05:10
Last modified: 16 Mar 2024 20:38
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Author:
Muluye S Desta
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