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Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017

Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017
Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017
Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2-to end preventable child deaths by 2030-we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000-2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32% of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58% of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographical inequalities to inform appropriate investments and implementations that will help to improve the health of all populations.
Child, Child Mortality/trends, Geography, Global Health, Humans, Infant, Infant Mortality/trends, Infant, Newborn, Organizational Objectives, Public Health, Socioeconomic Factors, United Nations
1476-4687
353-358
Burstein, Roy
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Henry, Nathaniel J
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Collison, Michael L
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Marczak, Laurie B
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Sligar, Amber
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Watson, Stefanie
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Marquez, Neal
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Abbasalizad-Farhangi, Mahdieh
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Abbasi, Masoumeh
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Abd-Allah, Foad
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Abdoli, Amir
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Abdollahi, Mohammad
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Abdollahpour, Ibrahim
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Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi
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Abrigo, Michael R M
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Acharya, Dilaram
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Adebayo, Oladimeji M
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Adekanmbi, Victor
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Adham, Davoud
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Afshari, Mahdi
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Ahmadi, Mehdi
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Ahmadpour, Ehsan
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Ahmed, Rushdia
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Akinyemi, Joshua O
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Alahdab, Fares
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Alam, Noore
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Alamene, Genet Melak
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Alene, Kefyalew Addis
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Alijanzadeh, Mehran
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Alinia, Cyrus
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Alipour, Vahid
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Aljunid, Syed Mohamed
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Almalki, Mohammed J
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Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M
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Altirkawi, Khalid
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Alvis-Guzman, Nelson
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Aremu, Olatunde
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Cooper, Cyrus
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Fernandes, João C
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Gething, Peter W
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Islam, Nazrul
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Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb
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Salomon, Joshua A
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Smith, David L
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Ullah, Irfan
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Usman, Muhammad Shariq
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Wang, Yuan-Pang
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Burstein, Roy
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Henry, Nathaniel J
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Collison, Michael L
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Marczak, Laurie B
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Sligar, Amber
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Watson, Stefanie
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Marquez, Neal
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Abbasalizad-Farhangi, Mahdieh
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Abbasi, Masoumeh
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Abd-Allah, Foad
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Abdoli, Amir
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Abdollahi, Mohammad
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Abdollahpour, Ibrahim
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Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi
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Abrigo, Michael R M
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Acharya, Dilaram
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Adebayo, Oladimeji M
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Adekanmbi, Victor
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Adham, Davoud
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Afshari, Mahdi
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Aghaali, Mohammad
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Ahmadi, Keivan
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Ahmadi, Mehdi
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Ahmadpour, Ehsan
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Ahmed, Rushdia
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Akal, Chalachew Genet
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Akinyemi, Joshua O
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Alahdab, Fares
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Alam, Noore
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Alamene, Genet Melak
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Alene, Kefyalew Addis
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Alijanzadeh, Mehran
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Alinia, Cyrus
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Alipour, Vahid
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Aljunid, Syed Mohamed
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Almalki, Mohammed J
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Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M
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Altirkawi, Khalid
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Alvis-Guzman, Nelson
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Aremu, Olatunde
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Cooper, Cyrus
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Fernandes, João C
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Gething, Peter W
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Islam, Nazrul
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Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb
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Salomon, Joshua A
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Smith, David L
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Ullah, Irfan
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Usman, Muhammad Shariq
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Wang, Yuan-Pang
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Burstein, Roy, Henry, Nathaniel J, Collison, Michael L, Marczak, Laurie B, Sligar, Amber, Watson, Stefanie, Marquez, Neal, Abbasalizad-Farhangi, Mahdieh, Abbasi, Masoumeh, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdoli, Amir, Abdollahi, Mohammad, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abrigo, Michael R M, Acharya, Dilaram, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adham, Davoud, Afshari, Mahdi, Aghaali, Mohammad, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmadi, Mehdi, Ahmadpour, Ehsan, Ahmed, Rushdia, Akal, Chalachew Genet, Akinyemi, Joshua O, Alahdab, Fares, Alam, Noore, Alamene, Genet Melak, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alinia, Cyrus, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almalki, Mohammed J, Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Aremu, Olatunde, Cooper, Cyrus, Fernandes, João C, Gething, Peter W, Islam, Nazrul, Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb, Salomon, Joshua A, Smith, David L, Ullah, Irfan, Usman, Muhammad Shariq and Wang, Yuan-Pang (2019) Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017. Nature, 574 (7778), 353-358. (doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1545-0).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2-to end preventable child deaths by 2030-we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000-2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32% of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58% of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographical inequalities to inform appropriate investments and implementations that will help to improve the health of all populations.

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s41586-019-1545-0 - Version of Record
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
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Accepted/In Press date: 6 August 2019
Published date: 16 October 2019
Keywords: Child, Child Mortality/trends, Geography, Global Health, Humans, Infant, Infant Mortality/trends, Infant, Newborn, Organizational Objectives, Public Health, Socioeconomic Factors, United Nations

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 471651
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/471651
ISSN: 1476-4687
PURE UUID: 26bbfc07-1e0a-4f1b-b27e-612ca352b739
ORCID for Cyrus Cooper: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-3510-0709
ORCID for Nazrul Islam: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-3982-4325
ORCID for Muhammad Shahzeb Khan: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7991-5654

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 15 Nov 2022 18:00
Last modified: 18 Mar 2024 04:07

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Contributors

Author: Roy Burstein
Author: Nathaniel J Henry
Author: Michael L Collison
Author: Laurie B Marczak
Author: Amber Sligar
Author: Stefanie Watson
Author: Neal Marquez
Author: Mahdieh Abbasalizad-Farhangi
Author: Masoumeh Abbasi
Author: Foad Abd-Allah
Author: Amir Abdoli
Author: Mohammad Abdollahi
Author: Ibrahim Abdollahpour
Author: Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader
Author: Michael R M Abrigo
Author: Dilaram Acharya
Author: Oladimeji M Adebayo
Author: Victor Adekanmbi
Author: Davoud Adham
Author: Mahdi Afshari
Author: Mohammad Aghaali
Author: Keivan Ahmadi
Author: Mehdi Ahmadi
Author: Ehsan Ahmadpour
Author: Rushdia Ahmed
Author: Chalachew Genet Akal
Author: Joshua O Akinyemi
Author: Fares Alahdab
Author: Noore Alam
Author: Genet Melak Alamene
Author: Kefyalew Addis Alene
Author: Mehran Alijanzadeh
Author: Cyrus Alinia
Author: Vahid Alipour
Author: Syed Mohamed Aljunid
Author: Mohammed J Almalki
Author: Hesham M Al-Mekhlafi
Author: Khalid Altirkawi
Author: Nelson Alvis-Guzman
Author: Olatunde Aremu
Author: Cyrus Cooper ORCID iD
Author: João C Fernandes
Author: Peter W Gething
Author: Nazrul Islam ORCID iD
Author: Muhammad Shahzeb Khan ORCID iD
Author: Joshua A Salomon
Author: David L Smith
Author: Irfan Ullah
Author: Muhammad Shariq Usman
Author: Yuan-Pang Wang

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