Building a Knowledge Base for the Model

Nurse, Sarah and Bijak, Jakub (2021) Building a Knowledge Base for the Model. In, Bijak, Jakub (ed.) Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography: Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies. (Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography, 17) 1 ed. Springer, pp. 51-70. (doi:10.1007/978-3-030-83039-7_4).

Record type: Book Section

Abstract

In this chapter, after summarising the key conceptual challenges related to the measurement of asylum migration, we briefly outline the history of recent migration flows from Syria to Europe. This case study is intended to guide the development of a model of migration route formation, used throughout this book as an illustration of the proposed model-based research process. Subsequently, for the case study, we offer an overview of the available data types, making a distinction between the sources related to the migration processes, as well as to the context within which migration occurs. We then propose a framework for assessing different aspects of data, based on a review of similar approaches suggested in the literature, and this framework is subsequently applied to a selection of available data sources. The chapter concludes with specific recommendations for using the different forms of data in formal modelling, including in the uncertainty assessment.

This record has no associated files available for download.