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Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica

Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica
Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica
The future response of the Antarctic ice sheet to rising temperatures remains highly uncertain. A useful period for assessing the sensitivity of Antarctica to warming is the Last Interglacial (LIG) (129 to 116 ky), which experienced warmer polar temperatures and higher global mean sea level (GMSL) (+6 to 9 m) relative to present day. LIG sea level cannot be fully explained by Greenland Ice Sheet melt (∼2 m), ocean thermal expansion, and melting mountain glaciers (∼1 m), suggesting substantial Antarctic mass loss was initiated by warming of Southern Ocean waters, resulting from a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in response to North Atlantic surface freshening. Here, we report a blue-ice record of ice sheet and environmental change from the Weddell Sea Embayment at the periphery of the marine-based West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), which is underlain by major methane hydrate reserves. Constrained by a widespread volcanic horizon and supported by ancient microbial DNA analyses, we provide evidence for substantial mass loss across the Weddell Sea Embayment during the LIG, most likely driven by ocean warming and associated with destabilization of subglacial hydrates. Ice sheet modeling supports this interpretation and suggests that millennial-scale warming of the Southern Ocean could have triggered a multimeter rise in global sea levels. Our data indicate that Antarctica is highly vulnerable to projected increases in ocean temperatures and may drive ice–climate feedbacks that further amplify warming.
Antarctic ice sheets, Marine ice sheet instability (MISI), Paleoclimatology, Polar amplification, Tipping element
0027-8424
3996-4006
Turney, Chris S.M.
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Fogwill, Christopher J.
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Golledge, Nicholas R.
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McKay, Nicholas P.
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van Sebille, Erik
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Jones, Richard T.
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Etheridge, David
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Rubino, Mauro
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Thornton, David P.
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Davies, Siwan M.
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Ramsey, Christopher Bronk
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Thomas, Zoë A.
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Bird, Michael I.
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Munksgaard, Niels C.
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Kohno, Mika
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Woodward, John
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Winter, Kate
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Weyrich, Laura S.
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Rootes, Camilla M.
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Millman, Helen
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Albert, Paul G.
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Rivera, Andres
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van Ommen, Tas
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Curran, Mark
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Moy, Andrew
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Rahmstorf, Stefan
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Kawamura, Kenji
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Hillenbrand, Claus Dieter
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Weber, Michael E.
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Manning, Christina J.
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Young, Jennifer
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Cooper, Alan
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et al.
Turney, Chris S.M.
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Fogwill, Christopher J.
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Golledge, Nicholas R.
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McKay, Nicholas P.
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van Sebille, Erik
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Jones, Richard T.
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Etheridge, David
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Rubino, Mauro
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Thornton, David P.
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Davies, Siwan M.
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Ramsey, Christopher Bronk
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Thomas, Zoë A.
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Bird, Michael I.
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Munksgaard, Niels C.
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Kohno, Mika
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Woodward, John
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Winter, Kate
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Weyrich, Laura S.
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Rootes, Camilla M.
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Millman, Helen
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Albert, Paul G.
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Rivera, Andres
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van Ommen, Tas
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Curran, Mark
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Moy, Andrew
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Rahmstorf, Stefan
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Kawamura, Kenji
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Hillenbrand, Claus Dieter
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Weber, Michael E.
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Manning, Christina J.
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Young, Jennifer
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Cooper, Alan
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Turney, Chris S.M., Fogwill, Christopher J., Golledge, Nicholas R. and Thomas, Zoë A. , et al. (2020) Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ice mass loss from Antarctica. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (8), 3996-4006. (doi:10.1073/pnas.1902469117).

Record type: Article

Abstract

The future response of the Antarctic ice sheet to rising temperatures remains highly uncertain. A useful period for assessing the sensitivity of Antarctica to warming is the Last Interglacial (LIG) (129 to 116 ky), which experienced warmer polar temperatures and higher global mean sea level (GMSL) (+6 to 9 m) relative to present day. LIG sea level cannot be fully explained by Greenland Ice Sheet melt (∼2 m), ocean thermal expansion, and melting mountain glaciers (∼1 m), suggesting substantial Antarctic mass loss was initiated by warming of Southern Ocean waters, resulting from a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in response to North Atlantic surface freshening. Here, we report a blue-ice record of ice sheet and environmental change from the Weddell Sea Embayment at the periphery of the marine-based West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), which is underlain by major methane hydrate reserves. Constrained by a widespread volcanic horizon and supported by ancient microbial DNA analyses, we provide evidence for substantial mass loss across the Weddell Sea Embayment during the LIG, most likely driven by ocean warming and associated with destabilization of subglacial hydrates. Ice sheet modeling supports this interpretation and suggests that millennial-scale warming of the Southern Ocean could have triggered a multimeter rise in global sea levels. Our data indicate that Antarctica is highly vulnerable to projected increases in ocean temperatures and may drive ice–climate feedbacks that further amplify warming.

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e-pub ahead of print date: 11 February 2020
Published date: 25 February 2020
Additional Information: Funding Information: ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. C.S.M.T., C.J.F., M.I.B., A.C., and N.R.G. are supported by their respective Australian Research Council (ARC) and Royal Society of New Zealand fellowships. Fieldwork was undertaken under ARC Linkage Project (LP120200724), supported by Linkage Partner Antarctic Logistics and Expeditions. J.W. and K.W. undertook GPR survey of the Patriot Hills record through the Natural Environment Research Council Project (NE/I027576/1) with logistic field support from the British Antarctic Survey. S.M.D. acknowledges financial support from Coleg Cymraeg Cenedlaethol, the European Research Council, and the Fulbright Commission (259253 and FP7/2007-2013). K.K. was supported by Japan Society for the Promotion of Science and the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology’s Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research (15KK0027 and 17H06320). We thank Dr. Chris Hayward and Dr. Gwydion Jones for electron microprobe assistance; Kathryn Lacey and Gareth James for help with preparing the tephra samples; Drs. Nelia Dunbar, Nels Iverson, and Andrei Kurbatov for discussions on the tephra correlations; CSIRO GASLAB personnel for support of gas analysis; Prof. Bill Sturges and Dr. Sam Allin of the Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences (University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK) for performing the sulfur hexafluoride analyses; Levke Caesar (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) for preparing the recent trend in SSTs in Fig. 1; Vicki Taylor (British Ocean Sediment Core Research Facility, Southampton, UK) for assistance with marine core sampling; and Dr. Emilie Capron (British Antarctic Survey) for advice on reconstructing early southern LIG temperatures. We thank CSIRO’s contribution, which was supported in part by the Australian Climate Change Science Program, an Australian Government Initiative. We also acknowledge Johannes Sutter, Torsten Albrecht, and Jonathan Kingslake for advice and data on their model simulations. We also thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments that helped improve this manuscript. Funding Information: C.S.M.T., C.J.F., M.I.B., A.C., and N.R.G. are supported by their respective Australian Research Council (ARC) and Royal Society of New Zealand fellowships. Fieldwork was undertaken under ARC Linkage Project (LP120200724), supported by Linkage Partner Antarctic Logistics and Expeditions. J.W. and K.W. undertook GPR survey of the Patriot Hills record through the Natural Environment Research Council Project (NE/I027576/1) with logistic field support from the British Antarctic Survey. S.M.D. acknowledges financial support from Coleg Cymraeg Cenedlaethol, the European Research Council, and the Fulbright Commission (259253 and FP7/2007-2013). K.K. was supported by Japan Society for the Promotion of Science and the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology’s Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research (15KK0027 and 17H06320). We thank Dr. Chris Hayward and Dr. Gwydion Jones for electron microprobe assistance; Kathryn Lacey and Gareth James for help with preparing the tephra samples; Drs. Nelia Dunbar, Nels Iverson, and Andrei Kurbatov for discussions on the tephra correlations; CSIRO GASLAB personnel for support of gas analysis; Prof. Bill Sturges and Dr. Sam Allin of the Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences (University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK) for performing the sulfur hexafluoride analyses; Levke Caesar (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) for preparing the recent trend in SSTs in Fig. 1; Vicki Taylor (British Ocean Sediment Core Research Facility, Southampton, UK) for assistance with marine core sampling; and Dr. Emilie Capron (British Antarctic Survey) for advice on reconstructing early southern LIG temperatures. We thank CSIRO’s contribution, which was supported in part by the Australian Climate Change Science Program, an Australian Government Initiative. We also acknowledge Johannes Sutter, Torsten Albrecht, and Jonathan Kingslake for advice and data on their model simulations. We also thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments that helped improve this manuscript. Data deposition: The isotopic datasets generated in this study are available at the publicly accessible National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Paleoclimatology Database (https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/study/28610). Publisher Copyright: © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Antarctic ice sheets, Marine ice sheet instability (MISI), Paleoclimatology, Polar amplification, Tipping element

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 476036
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/476036
ISSN: 0027-8424
PURE UUID: f92d7327-f770-4481-ba9a-57efd51452e5
ORCID for Zoë A. Thomas: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-2323-4366

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Date deposited: 04 Apr 2023 16:56
Last modified: 16 Apr 2024 02:06

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Contributors

Author: Chris S.M. Turney
Author: Christopher J. Fogwill
Author: Nicholas R. Golledge
Author: Nicholas P. McKay
Author: Erik van Sebille
Author: Richard T. Jones
Author: David Etheridge
Author: Mauro Rubino
Author: David P. Thornton
Author: Siwan M. Davies
Author: Christopher Bronk Ramsey
Author: Zoë A. Thomas ORCID iD
Author: Michael I. Bird
Author: Niels C. Munksgaard
Author: Mika Kohno
Author: John Woodward
Author: Kate Winter
Author: Laura S. Weyrich
Author: Camilla M. Rootes
Author: Helen Millman
Author: Paul G. Albert
Author: Andres Rivera
Author: Tas van Ommen
Author: Mark Curran
Author: Andrew Moy
Author: Stefan Rahmstorf
Author: Kenji Kawamura
Author: Claus Dieter Hillenbrand
Author: Michael E. Weber
Author: Christina J. Manning
Author: Jennifer Young
Author: Alan Cooper
Corporate Author: et al.

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