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Civil Conflict and Cross-border lending: A sectoral, micro lender-level analysis of syndicated loans

Civil Conflict and Cross-border lending: A sectoral, micro lender-level analysis of syndicated loans
Civil Conflict and Cross-border lending: A sectoral, micro lender-level analysis of syndicated loans
This study examines empirically the impact of civil conflict on cross-border lending. Our sample covers 165 countries over the period 1984-2019 with loan data disaggregated at the economic sectoral level (primary, secondary and tertiary sectors), an analysis that is absent in existing literature. Our results indicate that cross-border lending to the primary sector is not significantly influenced by civil conflict, whereas cross-border lending to secondary and tertiary sectors is negatively impacted by the outbreak of civil conflict, leading to a decreased volume of loans or reversals of existing loans.
civil conflict, Cross-border lending, economic sectors, syndicated loans, volume of loans
1024-2694
Li, Chengchun
0ee7a126-be5b-4b56-81f4-5dc2d5b2b1c0
Luo, Yun
2ac0f228-573d-43e7-b309-1529b6f3d174
De Vita, Glauco
002fc6bf-e5ed-4a13-8993-0ce5e1fc2005
Li, Chengchun
0ee7a126-be5b-4b56-81f4-5dc2d5b2b1c0
Luo, Yun
2ac0f228-573d-43e7-b309-1529b6f3d174
De Vita, Glauco
002fc6bf-e5ed-4a13-8993-0ce5e1fc2005

Li, Chengchun, Luo, Yun and De Vita, Glauco (2023) Civil Conflict and Cross-border lending: A sectoral, micro lender-level analysis of syndicated loans. Defence and Peace Economics. (doi:10.1080/10242694.2023.2205311).

Record type: Article

Abstract

This study examines empirically the impact of civil conflict on cross-border lending. Our sample covers 165 countries over the period 1984-2019 with loan data disaggregated at the economic sectoral level (primary, secondary and tertiary sectors), an analysis that is absent in existing literature. Our results indicate that cross-border lending to the primary sector is not significantly influenced by civil conflict, whereas cross-border lending to secondary and tertiary sectors is negatively impacted by the outbreak of civil conflict, leading to a decreased volume of loans or reversals of existing loans.

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Accepted/In Press date: 18 April 2023
e-pub ahead of print date: 23 April 2023
Published date: 23 April 2023
Additional Information: Publisher Copyright: © 2023 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
Keywords: civil conflict, Cross-border lending, economic sectors, syndicated loans, volume of loans

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 476833
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/476833
ISSN: 1024-2694
PURE UUID: 1e1de37d-16df-45fa-b388-bf497d6d3c56
ORCID for Yun Luo: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-8409-366X

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 17 May 2023 16:40
Last modified: 17 Mar 2024 04:00

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Contributors

Author: Chengchun Li
Author: Yun Luo ORCID iD
Author: Glauco De Vita

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