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Political trust and climate policy choice: evidence from a conjoint experiment

Political trust and climate policy choice: evidence from a conjoint experiment
Political trust and climate policy choice: evidence from a conjoint experiment
Why do citizens support or reject climate change mitigation policies? This is not an easy choice: citizens need to support government in making these decisions, accept potentially radical behaviour change, and have altruism across borders and for future generations. A substantial literature argues that political trust facilitates citizen support for these complex policy decisions by mitigating the cost and uncer- tainty that policies impose on individuals and buttressing support for government intervention. We test whether this is the case with a pre-registered conjoint exper- iment fielded in Germany in which we vary fundamental aspects of policy design that are related to the cost, uncertainty, and implementation of climate change policies. Contrary to strong theoretical expectations and previous work, we find no difference between those with low and high trust on their support for different policy attributes, assuaging the concern that low and declining trust inhibits climate policy making.
0143-814X
Devine, Daniel
6bfa5a27-1b58-4c61-8eb0-a7a40860a4ae
Stoker, Gerry
209ba619-6a65-4bc1-9235-cba0d826bfd9
Jennings, Will
2ab3f11c-eb7f-44c6-9ef2-3180c1a954f7
Devine, Daniel
6bfa5a27-1b58-4c61-8eb0-a7a40860a4ae
Stoker, Gerry
209ba619-6a65-4bc1-9235-cba0d826bfd9
Jennings, Will
2ab3f11c-eb7f-44c6-9ef2-3180c1a954f7

Devine, Daniel, Stoker, Gerry and Jennings, Will (2023) Political trust and climate policy choice: evidence from a conjoint experiment. Journal of Public Policy. (In Press)

Record type: Article

Abstract

Why do citizens support or reject climate change mitigation policies? This is not an easy choice: citizens need to support government in making these decisions, accept potentially radical behaviour change, and have altruism across borders and for future generations. A substantial literature argues that political trust facilitates citizen support for these complex policy decisions by mitigating the cost and uncer- tainty that policies impose on individuals and buttressing support for government intervention. We test whether this is the case with a pre-registered conjoint exper- iment fielded in Germany in which we vary fundamental aspects of policy design that are related to the cost, uncertainty, and implementation of climate change policies. Contrary to strong theoretical expectations and previous work, we find no difference between those with low and high trust on their support for different policy attributes, assuaging the concern that low and declining trust inhibits climate policy making.

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Accepted/In Press date: 25 November 2023

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 485019
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/485019
ISSN: 0143-814X
PURE UUID: 867e0d3a-a84f-4fc4-93a7-51f8ca466092
ORCID for Daniel Devine: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-0335-1776
ORCID for Gerry Stoker: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-8172-3395
ORCID for Will Jennings: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-9007-8896

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Date deposited: 28 Nov 2023 17:37
Last modified: 18 Mar 2024 03:54

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Contributors

Author: Daniel Devine ORCID iD
Author: Gerry Stoker ORCID iD
Author: Will Jennings ORCID iD

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