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Prevalence and incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in the UK population of Gloucestershire

Prevalence and incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in the UK population of Gloucestershire
Prevalence and incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in the UK population of Gloucestershire

Purpose: to estimate prevalence and incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in a UK region by severity between 2012 and 2016 and risk factors for progression to proliferative DR (PDR). 

Methods: electronic medical records from people with diabetes (PWD) ≥18 years seen at the Gloucestershire Diabetic Eye Screening Programme (GDESP) and the hospital eye clinic were analysed (HEC). Prevalence and incidence of DR per 100 PWD (%) by calendar year, grade and diabetes type were estimated using log-linear regression. Progression to PDR and associated risk factors were estimated using parametric survival analyses. 

Results: across the study period, 35 873 PWD had at least one DR assessment. They were aged 66 (56–75) years (median (interquartile range)), 57% male, 5 (1–10) years since diabetes diagnosis, 93% Type 2 diabetes. Prevalence of DR decreased from 38.9% (95% CI: 38.1%, 39.8%) in 2012 to 36.6% (95% CI: 35.9%, 37.3%) in 2016 (p < 0.001). Incidence of any DR decreased from 10.9% (95% CI: 10.4%, 11.5%) in 2013 to 8.5% (95% CI: 8.1%, 9.0%) in 2016 (p < 0.001). Prevalence of PDR decreased from 3.5% (95% CI: 3.3%, 3.8%) in 2012 to 3.1% (95% CI 2.9%, 3.3%) in 2016 (p = 0.008). Incidence of PDR did not change over time. HbA1c and bilateral moderate–severe NPDR were statistically significant risk factors associated with progression to PDR. 

Conclusions: incidence and prevalence of DR decreased between 2012 and 2016 in this well-characterized population of the UK.

diabetic retinopathy, epidemiology, imaging, retinal screening, sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy
1755-375X
e560-e570
Scanlon, Peter H.
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Nevill, Clareece R.
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Stratton, Irene M.
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Maruti, Sonia S.
1e4ac8f6-4678-4b59-ae84-0225d0e6a274
Massó-González, Elvira L.
881530ca-5ce1-4726-a51c-1afcdc63a785
Sivaprasad, Sobha
6ae3de79-66b3-4fc5-a91d-7de5f5887038
Bailey, Clare
f86729be-c141-4085-8acf-ef90a889e5a4
Ehrlich, Michael
249aa71e-fe57-4777-a5c0-f17fc57c87a2
Chong, Victor
796050a0-3992-4e80-a5d5-3f289a1e2758
Scanlon, Peter H.
4e3d2310-c79e-42db-ae29-7a7d6b278aa3
Nevill, Clareece R.
c1ea5279-40f7-4525-8294-bd923b8bb7f3
Stratton, Irene M.
772f25b9-23c0-4240-a3f6-1e76b03b172f
Maruti, Sonia S.
1e4ac8f6-4678-4b59-ae84-0225d0e6a274
Massó-González, Elvira L.
881530ca-5ce1-4726-a51c-1afcdc63a785
Sivaprasad, Sobha
6ae3de79-66b3-4fc5-a91d-7de5f5887038
Bailey, Clare
f86729be-c141-4085-8acf-ef90a889e5a4
Ehrlich, Michael
249aa71e-fe57-4777-a5c0-f17fc57c87a2
Chong, Victor
796050a0-3992-4e80-a5d5-3f289a1e2758

Scanlon, Peter H., Nevill, Clareece R., Stratton, Irene M., Maruti, Sonia S., Massó-González, Elvira L., Sivaprasad, Sobha, Bailey, Clare, Ehrlich, Michael and Chong, Victor (2022) Prevalence and incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in the UK population of Gloucestershire. Acta Ophthalmologica, 100 (2), e560-e570. (doi:10.1111/aos.14927).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Purpose: to estimate prevalence and incidence of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in a UK region by severity between 2012 and 2016 and risk factors for progression to proliferative DR (PDR). 

Methods: electronic medical records from people with diabetes (PWD) ≥18 years seen at the Gloucestershire Diabetic Eye Screening Programme (GDESP) and the hospital eye clinic were analysed (HEC). Prevalence and incidence of DR per 100 PWD (%) by calendar year, grade and diabetes type were estimated using log-linear regression. Progression to PDR and associated risk factors were estimated using parametric survival analyses. 

Results: across the study period, 35 873 PWD had at least one DR assessment. They were aged 66 (56–75) years (median (interquartile range)), 57% male, 5 (1–10) years since diabetes diagnosis, 93% Type 2 diabetes. Prevalence of DR decreased from 38.9% (95% CI: 38.1%, 39.8%) in 2012 to 36.6% (95% CI: 35.9%, 37.3%) in 2016 (p < 0.001). Incidence of any DR decreased from 10.9% (95% CI: 10.4%, 11.5%) in 2013 to 8.5% (95% CI: 8.1%, 9.0%) in 2016 (p < 0.001). Prevalence of PDR decreased from 3.5% (95% CI: 3.3%, 3.8%) in 2012 to 3.1% (95% CI 2.9%, 3.3%) in 2016 (p = 0.008). Incidence of PDR did not change over time. HbA1c and bilateral moderate–severe NPDR were statistically significant risk factors associated with progression to PDR. 

Conclusions: incidence and prevalence of DR decreased between 2012 and 2016 in this well-characterized population of the UK.

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e-pub ahead of print date: 28 June 2021
Published date: March 2022
Additional Information: Funding Information: The study was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim International GmBH.
Keywords: diabetic retinopathy, epidemiology, imaging, retinal screening, sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 487208
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/487208
ISSN: 1755-375X
PURE UUID: 9c71aec7-c552-4f44-8c12-3e0e0b3c9722
ORCID for Irene M. Stratton: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-1172-7865

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Date deposited: 16 Feb 2024 10:31
Last modified: 18 Mar 2024 04:01

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Contributors

Author: Peter H. Scanlon
Author: Clareece R. Nevill
Author: Irene M. Stratton ORCID iD
Author: Sonia S. Maruti
Author: Elvira L. Massó-González
Author: Sobha Sivaprasad
Author: Clare Bailey
Author: Michael Ehrlich
Author: Victor Chong

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