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FRAX predicts cardiovascular risk in women undergoing osteoporosis screening: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry

FRAX predicts cardiovascular risk in women undergoing osteoporosis screening: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry
FRAX predicts cardiovascular risk in women undergoing osteoporosis screening: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry

Osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are highly prevalent in older women, with increasing evidence for shared risk factors and pathogenesis. Although FRAX was developed for the assessment of fracture risk, we hypothesized that it might also provide information on CVD risk. To test the ability of the FRAX tool and FRAX-defined risk factors to predict incident CVD in women undergoing osteoporosis screening with DXA, we performed a retrospective prognostic cohort study which included women aged 50 yr or older with a baseline DXA scan in the Manitoba Bone Mineral Density Registry between March 31, 1999 and March 31, 2018. FRAX scores for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) were calculated on all participants. Incident MOF and major adverse CV events (MACE; hospitalized acute myocardial infarction [AMI], hospitalized non-hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease [CVA], or all-cause death) were ascertained from linkage to population-based healthcare data. The study population comprised 59 696 women (mean age 65.7 ± 9.4 yr). Over mean 8.7 yr of observation, 6021 (10.1%) had MOF, 12 277 women (20.6%) had MACE, 2274 (3.8%) had AMI, 2061 (3.5%) had CVA, and 10 253 (17.2%) died. MACE rates per 1000 person-years by FRAX risk categories low (10-yr predicted MOF <10%), moderate (10%-19.9%) and high (≥20%) were 13.5, 34.0, and 64.6, respectively. Although weaker than the association with incident MOF, increasing FRAX quintile was associated with increasing risk for MACE (all P-trend <.001), even after excluding prior CVD and adjusting for age. HR for MACE per SD increase in FRAX was 1.99 (95%CI, 1.96-2.02). All FRAX-defined risk factors (except parental hip fracture and lower BMI) were independently associated with higher non-death CV events. Although FRAX is intended for fracture risk prediction, it has predictive value for cardiovascular risk.

FRAX, cardiovascular disease, fracture risk, osteoporosis, population health
0884-0431
30-38
Ye, Carrie
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Schousboe, John T.
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Morin, Suzanne N.
68489af8-f604-4f28-88e0-60add9fde4ae
Lix, Lisa M.
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McCloskey, Eugene V.
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Johansson, Helena
04f12338-4dd1-437b-b9bc-e0884130c215
Harvey, Nicholas C.
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Kanis, John A.
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Leslie, William D.
5b2dd5d6-4569-40a3-a9b1-95152d11e4f1
Ye, Carrie
dfb1a82d-2163-41f1-8c3b-d93267a0a1d0
Schousboe, John T.
f2b87d0a-88cb-462f-bc70-df2d984c9d1e
Morin, Suzanne N.
68489af8-f604-4f28-88e0-60add9fde4ae
Lix, Lisa M.
2fb61783-047d-4a4b-a45d-e09ac0763a7b
McCloskey, Eugene V.
2f057a16-3d4e-4597-80c7-6ce47f969c78
Johansson, Helena
04f12338-4dd1-437b-b9bc-e0884130c215
Harvey, Nicholas C.
ce487fb4-d360-4aac-9d17-9466d6cba145
Kanis, John A.
f1621d8d-8afb-4d97-9679-2165d88a344d
Leslie, William D.
5b2dd5d6-4569-40a3-a9b1-95152d11e4f1

Ye, Carrie, Schousboe, John T., Morin, Suzanne N., Lix, Lisa M., McCloskey, Eugene V., Johansson, Helena, Harvey, Nicholas C., Kanis, John A. and Leslie, William D. (2024) FRAX predicts cardiovascular risk in women undergoing osteoporosis screening: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry: the Manitoba bone mineral density registry. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research, 39 (1), 30-38. (doi:10.1093/jbmr/zjad010).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are highly prevalent in older women, with increasing evidence for shared risk factors and pathogenesis. Although FRAX was developed for the assessment of fracture risk, we hypothesized that it might also provide information on CVD risk. To test the ability of the FRAX tool and FRAX-defined risk factors to predict incident CVD in women undergoing osteoporosis screening with DXA, we performed a retrospective prognostic cohort study which included women aged 50 yr or older with a baseline DXA scan in the Manitoba Bone Mineral Density Registry between March 31, 1999 and March 31, 2018. FRAX scores for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) were calculated on all participants. Incident MOF and major adverse CV events (MACE; hospitalized acute myocardial infarction [AMI], hospitalized non-hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease [CVA], or all-cause death) were ascertained from linkage to population-based healthcare data. The study population comprised 59 696 women (mean age 65.7 ± 9.4 yr). Over mean 8.7 yr of observation, 6021 (10.1%) had MOF, 12 277 women (20.6%) had MACE, 2274 (3.8%) had AMI, 2061 (3.5%) had CVA, and 10 253 (17.2%) died. MACE rates per 1000 person-years by FRAX risk categories low (10-yr predicted MOF <10%), moderate (10%-19.9%) and high (≥20%) were 13.5, 34.0, and 64.6, respectively. Although weaker than the association with incident MOF, increasing FRAX quintile was associated with increasing risk for MACE (all P-trend <.001), even after excluding prior CVD and adjusting for age. HR for MACE per SD increase in FRAX was 1.99 (95%CI, 1.96-2.02). All FRAX-defined risk factors (except parental hip fracture and lower BMI) were independently associated with higher non-death CV events. Although FRAX is intended for fracture risk prediction, it has predictive value for cardiovascular risk.

Text
CLEAN REVISION JBMR FRAX MACE Manuscript and Tables - Accepted Manuscript
Restricted to Repository staff only until 4 January 2025.
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More information

Accepted/In Press date: 14 November 2023
e-pub ahead of print date: 4 January 2024
Published date: 4 January 2024
Additional Information: Publisher Copyright: © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research. All rights reserved.
Keywords: FRAX, cardiovascular disease, fracture risk, osteoporosis, population health

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 490244
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/490244
ISSN: 0884-0431
PURE UUID: 8ae6b1cd-b9d0-4c09-9c5a-a126e574f357
ORCID for Nicholas C. Harvey: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-8194-2512

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Date deposited: 21 May 2024 16:32
Last modified: 08 Jun 2024 01:39

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Contributors

Author: Carrie Ye
Author: John T. Schousboe
Author: Suzanne N. Morin
Author: Lisa M. Lix
Author: Eugene V. McCloskey
Author: Helena Johansson
Author: John A. Kanis
Author: William D. Leslie

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