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Derivation and validation of a novel functional FFRCT score incoporating the burden of coronary stensosis severity and flow impairment to predict clinical events

Derivation and validation of a novel functional FFRCT score incoporating the burden of coronary stensosis severity and flow impairment to predict clinical events
Derivation and validation of a novel functional FFRCT score incoporating the burden of coronary stensosis severity and flow impairment to predict clinical events
Background: a score combining the burden of stenosis severity on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and flow impairment by fractional flow reserve derived from computed tomography (FFRCT) may be a better predictor of clinical events than either parameter alone.

Methods: the Functional FFRCT Score (FFS) combines CCTA and FFRCT parameters in an allocated point-based system. The feasibility of the FFS was assessed in cohort of 72 stable chest pain patients with matched CCTA and FFRCT datasets. Validation was performed using 2 cohorts: (a) 4468 patients from the ADVANCE Registry to define its association with revascularization and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); (b) 212 patients from the FORECAST trial to determine predictors of MACE.

Results: the median calculation time for the FFS was 10 (interquartile range 6–17) seconds, with strong intra-operator and inter-operator agreement (Cohen's Kappa 0.89 (±0.37, p ​< ​0.001) and 0.83 (±0.04, p ​< ​0.001, respectively). The FFS correlated strongly with both the CT-SYNTAX and the Functional CT-SYNTAX scores (rS ​= ​0.808 for both, p ​< ​0.001).

In the ADVANCE cohort the FFS had good discriminatory abilities for revascularization with an area under the curve of 0.82, 95 ​% confidence interval (CI) 0.81–0.84, p ​< ​0.001. Patients in the highest FFS tertile had significantly higher rates of revascularization (61 ​% vs 5 ​%, p ​< ​0.001) and MACE (1.9 ​% vs 0.5 ​%, p ​= ​0.001) compared with the lowest FFS tertile.

In the FORECAST cohort the FFS was an independent predictor of MACE at 9-month follow-up (hazard ratio 1.04, 95 ​% CI 1.01–1.08, p ​< ​0.01).

Conclusion: the FFS is a quick-to-calculate and reproducible score, associated with revascularization and MACE in two distinct populations of stable symptomatic patients.
1934-5925
33-42
Gabara, Lavinia
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Hinton, Jonathan
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Kira, Mohamed
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Saunders, Alec
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Shambrook, James
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Abbas, Ausami
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Leipsic, Jonathon A.
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Rogers, Campbell
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Mullen, Sarah
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Ng, Nicholas
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Wilding, Sam
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Douglas, Pamela S.
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Patel, Manesh
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Fairbairn, Timothy A.
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Hlatky, Mark A.
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Curzen, Nick
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Gabara, Lavinia
950ad9bd-8edc-42e0-94c8-03afe73abb52
Hinton, Jonathan
ee233f72-1aa1-449d-9b39-5ec8dd0f7e1f
Kira, Mohamed
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Saunders, Alec
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Shambrook, James
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Abbas, Ausami
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Leipsic, Jonathon A.
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Rogers, Campbell
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Mullen, Sarah
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Ng, Nicholas
d51acaca-4e7a-4e92-b461-1759551ffd21
Wilding, Sam
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Douglas, Pamela S.
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Patel, Manesh
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Fairbairn, Timothy A.
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Hlatky, Mark A.
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Curzen, Nick
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Gabara, Lavinia, Hinton, Jonathan, Kira, Mohamed, Saunders, Alec, Shambrook, James, Abbas, Ausami, Leipsic, Jonathon A., Rogers, Campbell, Mullen, Sarah, Ng, Nicholas, Wilding, Sam, Douglas, Pamela S., Patel, Manesh, Fairbairn, Timothy A., Hlatky, Mark A. and Curzen, Nick (2024) Derivation and validation of a novel functional FFRCT score incoporating the burden of coronary stensosis severity and flow impairment to predict clinical events. Journal of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography, 18 (1), 33-42. (doi:10.1016/j.jcct.2023.10.005).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Background: a score combining the burden of stenosis severity on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and flow impairment by fractional flow reserve derived from computed tomography (FFRCT) may be a better predictor of clinical events than either parameter alone.

Methods: the Functional FFRCT Score (FFS) combines CCTA and FFRCT parameters in an allocated point-based system. The feasibility of the FFS was assessed in cohort of 72 stable chest pain patients with matched CCTA and FFRCT datasets. Validation was performed using 2 cohorts: (a) 4468 patients from the ADVANCE Registry to define its association with revascularization and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); (b) 212 patients from the FORECAST trial to determine predictors of MACE.

Results: the median calculation time for the FFS was 10 (interquartile range 6–17) seconds, with strong intra-operator and inter-operator agreement (Cohen's Kappa 0.89 (±0.37, p ​< ​0.001) and 0.83 (±0.04, p ​< ​0.001, respectively). The FFS correlated strongly with both the CT-SYNTAX and the Functional CT-SYNTAX scores (rS ​= ​0.808 for both, p ​< ​0.001).

In the ADVANCE cohort the FFS had good discriminatory abilities for revascularization with an area under the curve of 0.82, 95 ​% confidence interval (CI) 0.81–0.84, p ​< ​0.001. Patients in the highest FFS tertile had significantly higher rates of revascularization (61 ​% vs 5 ​%, p ​< ​0.001) and MACE (1.9 ​% vs 0.5 ​%, p ​= ​0.001) compared with the lowest FFS tertile.

In the FORECAST cohort the FFS was an independent predictor of MACE at 9-month follow-up (hazard ratio 1.04, 95 ​% CI 1.01–1.08, p ​< ​0.01).

Conclusion: the FFS is a quick-to-calculate and reproducible score, associated with revascularization and MACE in two distinct populations of stable symptomatic patients.

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Accepted/In Press date: 8 October 2023
e-pub ahead of print date: 21 October 2023
Published date: 22 February 2024

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 492005
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/492005
ISSN: 1934-5925
PURE UUID: 5aa7cbb8-72dd-4074-967d-88976ca75d07
ORCID for Nick Curzen: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-9651-7829

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Date deposited: 11 Jul 2024 16:40
Last modified: 12 Jul 2024 01:43

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Contributors

Author: Lavinia Gabara
Author: Jonathan Hinton
Author: Mohamed Kira
Author: Alec Saunders
Author: James Shambrook
Author: Ausami Abbas
Author: Jonathon A. Leipsic
Author: Campbell Rogers
Author: Sarah Mullen
Author: Nicholas Ng
Author: Sam Wilding
Author: Pamela S. Douglas
Author: Manesh Patel
Author: Timothy A. Fairbairn
Author: Mark A. Hlatky
Author: Nick Curzen ORCID iD

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