Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing for each such division. We analyse the impact of the vaccination strategy on the current pandemic wave dynamics in the US. We observe that the ongoing vaccination campaign will not impact the current pandemic wave and therefore strict social distancing measures must still be enacted. To curb the current and the next waves our results indisputably show that vaccinations alone are not enough and strict social distancing measures are required until sufficient immunity is achieved. Our results are essential for a successful vaccination strategy in the US.
Cot, Corentin
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Cacciapaglia, Giacomo
df69e7d0-e326-4864-92cb-1d96697b274e
Islind, Anna Sigridur
6579e039-fc7e-4f63-baff-e88c4caf5bb5
Oskarsdottir, Maria
d159ed8f-9dd3-4ff3-8b00-d43579ab71be
Sannino, Francesco
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26 May 2021
Cot, Corentin
f49a8c8e-8d05-4bbb-8f66-00034c04ef2b
Cacciapaglia, Giacomo
df69e7d0-e326-4864-92cb-1d96697b274e
Islind, Anna Sigridur
6579e039-fc7e-4f63-baff-e88c4caf5bb5
Oskarsdottir, Maria
d159ed8f-9dd3-4ff3-8b00-d43579ab71be
Sannino, Francesco
767a62d6-0fda-4ac4-8a85-37cfab28dc48
Cot, Corentin, Cacciapaglia, Giacomo, Islind, Anna Sigridur, Oskarsdottir, Maria and Sannino, Francesco
(2021)
Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics.
Scientific Reports, 11, [10960].
(doi:10.1038/s41598-021-90539-2).
Abstract
We employ the epidemic Renormalization Group (eRG) framework to understand, reproduce and predict the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion across the US. The human mobility across different geographical US divisions is modelled via open source flight data alongside the impact of social distancing for each such division. We analyse the impact of the vaccination strategy on the current pandemic wave dynamics in the US. We observe that the ongoing vaccination campaign will not impact the current pandemic wave and therefore strict social distancing measures must still be enacted. To curb the current and the next waves our results indisputably show that vaccinations alone are not enough and strict social distancing measures are required until sufficient immunity is achieved. Our results are essential for a successful vaccination strategy in the US.
Text
s41598-021-90539-2
- Version of Record
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Accepted/In Press date: 29 April 2021
Published date: 26 May 2021
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 498249
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/498249
ISSN: 2045-2322
PURE UUID: 13c06f00-be5a-4c1e-87d2-b37490a7142b
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Date deposited: 13 Feb 2025 17:30
Last modified: 22 Aug 2025 02:47
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Contributors
Author:
Corentin Cot
Author:
Giacomo Cacciapaglia
Author:
Anna Sigridur Islind
Author:
Maria Oskarsdottir
Author:
Francesco Sannino
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