Challenges in the long-term evaluation of transport interventions: the case of the city of Southampton
Challenges in the long-term evaluation of transport interventions: the case of the city of Southampton
This paper examines the long-term impact of transport interventions on urban development in Southampton while considering transport funding received in the last decade. In addition to funding associated with its local transport plan, Southampton has received funding from, among others, the Local Sustainable Transport Fund, the Access Fund, the Transforming Cities Fund and the Future Transport Zone programme fund. This paper analyses relationships among four key variables: traffic levels, population, transport expenditure and gross value added (GVA). By analysing these variables over time, the study provide insights on how interventions shape urban mobility and sustainability. Key findings indicate GVA significantly correlates with traffic level, demonestrating that economic growth drives transport demand. The paper discuss the challenges in long-term evaluation of interventions, including incosistent data, external shocks like COVID-19 and methodological limitations specifically in causation interpretation–and offers suggestions for improving monitoring and evaluation process in term of data analysis and policy alignment.
Long-term evaluation, Southampton, transport interventions, challenges
735-755
AL Shuaili, Ahmed
8636b916-2476-4ad1-84e4-894d2aa55389
Preston, John
ef81c42e-c896-4768-92d1-052662037f0b
2025
AL Shuaili, Ahmed
8636b916-2476-4ad1-84e4-894d2aa55389
Preston, John
ef81c42e-c896-4768-92d1-052662037f0b
AL Shuaili, Ahmed and Preston, John
(2025)
Challenges in the long-term evaluation of transport interventions: the case of the city of Southampton.
Transportation Planning and Technology, 48 (4), .
(doi:10.1080/03081060.2025.2482872).
Abstract
This paper examines the long-term impact of transport interventions on urban development in Southampton while considering transport funding received in the last decade. In addition to funding associated with its local transport plan, Southampton has received funding from, among others, the Local Sustainable Transport Fund, the Access Fund, the Transforming Cities Fund and the Future Transport Zone programme fund. This paper analyses relationships among four key variables: traffic levels, population, transport expenditure and gross value added (GVA). By analysing these variables over time, the study provide insights on how interventions shape urban mobility and sustainability. Key findings indicate GVA significantly correlates with traffic level, demonestrating that economic growth drives transport demand. The paper discuss the challenges in long-term evaluation of interventions, including incosistent data, external shocks like COVID-19 and methodological limitations specifically in causation interpretation–and offers suggestions for improving monitoring and evaluation process in term of data analysis and policy alignment.
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Challenges in the long-term evaluation of transport interventions the case of the city of Southampton
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Accepted/In Press date: 17 March 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 25 March 2025
Published date: 2025
Keywords:
Long-term evaluation, Southampton, transport interventions, challenges
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Local EPrints ID: 500550
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/500550
ISSN: 0308-1060
PURE UUID: 6a73546a-e25c-428b-9747-24df4c1d6ce6
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Date deposited: 06 May 2025 16:35
Last modified: 30 Aug 2025 02:12
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Author:
Ahmed AL Shuaili
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