Disruption of boreal lake circulation in response to mid-Holocene warmth; evidence from the varved sediments of Lake Nautajärvi, southern Finland
Disruption of boreal lake circulation in response to mid-Holocene warmth; evidence from the varved sediments of Lake Nautajärvi, southern Finland
Future climate projections are expected to have a substantial impact on boreal lake circulation regimes. Understanding lake sensitivity to warmer climates is therefore critical for mitigating potential ecological and societal impacts. The Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM; ca 7–5 ka BP) provides a valuable analogue to investigate lake responses to warmer climates devoid of major anthropogenic influences. Here, we analyse the micro-X-ray core scanning profiles (μ-XRF) of the annually laminated (varved) sediments from Lake Nautajärvi (NAU-23) in southern Finland to elucidate changes in lake circulation and sedimentation patterns. Principal component analysis (PCA) identifies two key components in the geochemical data associated with the nature of the sediments, i.e. detrital vs organic sedimentation (PC1), and hypolimnetic oxidation (PC2). Our findings reveal that during the HTM, the lake became more sensitive to changes in oxygenation and mixing intensity. These changes were triggered by a warmer climate, which increased organic matter and redox sensitive metal solute concentrations in the water column, strengthening lake stratification and weakening dimictic circulation patterns. Superimposed on HTM weakened circulation are distinct phases of increased oxidation and iron-rich varve formation that do not happen when the background conditions are cooler (i.e. the early and late Holocene). This is driven by temporary strengthening of the mixing regime in response to climatic variability and storminess cycles across southern Scandinavia. These findings demonstrate that whilst warmer conditions weaken boreal lake circulation regimes, they can also make them increasingly vulnerable to short term oscillations in prevalent climatic conditions and weather patterns, which could have significant impacts on lake water quality and aquatic ecosystems. These findings underscore the non-stationary nature of lake sensitivity to short-term climatic variability and emphasize the potential for similar shifts to occur under future warming scenarios.
Holocene thermal maximum, Lake circulation, Lake sediments, Varves
Lincoln, Paul
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Tjallingii, Rik
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Kosonen, Emilia
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Ojala, Antti E K
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Abrook, A.M
fce0b528-95c4-46d2-908e-44b8ad57f161
Martin-Puertas, Celia
6901171c-f580-407b-81b4-9d7680e93f70
10 February 2025
Lincoln, Paul
e8a532d3-defe-499d-bd09-d5206e51a10f
Tjallingii, Rik
990c9c01-e700-4e1d-a13b-981c29652145
Kosonen, Emilia
23dc7094-3944-4dc5-89b5-acd4078dd612
Ojala, Antti E K
9f8e8124-8f72-4c6a-8dd3-146f5c016309
Abrook, A.M
fce0b528-95c4-46d2-908e-44b8ad57f161
Martin-Puertas, Celia
6901171c-f580-407b-81b4-9d7680e93f70
Lincoln, Paul, Tjallingii, Rik, Kosonen, Emilia, Ojala, Antti E K, Abrook, A.M and Martin-Puertas, Celia
(2025)
Disruption of boreal lake circulation in response to mid-Holocene warmth; evidence from the varved sediments of Lake Nautajärvi, southern Finland.
Science of the Total Environment, 964, [178519].
(doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178519).
Abstract
Future climate projections are expected to have a substantial impact on boreal lake circulation regimes. Understanding lake sensitivity to warmer climates is therefore critical for mitigating potential ecological and societal impacts. The Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM; ca 7–5 ka BP) provides a valuable analogue to investigate lake responses to warmer climates devoid of major anthropogenic influences. Here, we analyse the micro-X-ray core scanning profiles (μ-XRF) of the annually laminated (varved) sediments from Lake Nautajärvi (NAU-23) in southern Finland to elucidate changes in lake circulation and sedimentation patterns. Principal component analysis (PCA) identifies two key components in the geochemical data associated with the nature of the sediments, i.e. detrital vs organic sedimentation (PC1), and hypolimnetic oxidation (PC2). Our findings reveal that during the HTM, the lake became more sensitive to changes in oxygenation and mixing intensity. These changes were triggered by a warmer climate, which increased organic matter and redox sensitive metal solute concentrations in the water column, strengthening lake stratification and weakening dimictic circulation patterns. Superimposed on HTM weakened circulation are distinct phases of increased oxidation and iron-rich varve formation that do not happen when the background conditions are cooler (i.e. the early and late Holocene). This is driven by temporary strengthening of the mixing regime in response to climatic variability and storminess cycles across southern Scandinavia. These findings demonstrate that whilst warmer conditions weaken boreal lake circulation regimes, they can also make them increasingly vulnerable to short term oscillations in prevalent climatic conditions and weather patterns, which could have significant impacts on lake water quality and aquatic ecosystems. These findings underscore the non-stationary nature of lake sensitivity to short-term climatic variability and emphasize the potential for similar shifts to occur under future warming scenarios.
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Accepted/In Press date: 12 January 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 23 January 2025
Published date: 10 February 2025
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© 2025 The Authors
Keywords:
Holocene thermal maximum, Lake circulation, Lake sediments, Varves
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Local EPrints ID: 503297
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/503297
ISSN: 0048-9697
PURE UUID: 8718a0a3-04d8-439b-9e9e-4e6e82a16263
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Date deposited: 28 Jul 2025 16:52
Last modified: 22 Aug 2025 02:37
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Contributors
Author:
Paul Lincoln
Author:
Rik Tjallingii
Author:
Emilia Kosonen
Author:
Antti E K Ojala
Author:
A.M Abrook
Author:
Celia Martin-Puertas
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