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Valuation risk revalued

Valuation risk revalued
Valuation risk revalued
This paper shows the success of valuation risk—time‐preference shocks in Epstein–Zin utility—in resolving asset pricing puzzles rests sensitively on the way it is introduced. The specification used in the literature is at odds with several desirable properties of recursive preferences because the weights in the time‐aggregator do not sum to one. When we revise the specification in a simple asset pricing model the puzzles resurface. However, when estimating a sequence of increasingly rich models, we find valuation risk under the revised specification consistently improves the ability of the models to match asset price and cash‐flow dynamics.</jats:p>
1759-7323
723-759
Groot, Oliver
0be49c71-aa34-43d6-80b7-89426334ecfc
Richter, Alexander W.
ec67d21a-6a26-4976-88ee-cf1c29477bbb
Throckmorton, Nathaniel A.
e01815cf-d5bb-4392-8094-ebef5357f9bc
Groot, Oliver
0be49c71-aa34-43d6-80b7-89426334ecfc
Richter, Alexander W.
ec67d21a-6a26-4976-88ee-cf1c29477bbb
Throckmorton, Nathaniel A.
e01815cf-d5bb-4392-8094-ebef5357f9bc

Groot, Oliver, Richter, Alexander W. and Throckmorton, Nathaniel A. (2022) Valuation risk revalued. Quantitative Economics, 13 (2), 723-759. (doi:10.3982/qe1779).

Record type: Article

Abstract

This paper shows the success of valuation risk—time‐preference shocks in Epstein–Zin utility—in resolving asset pricing puzzles rests sensitively on the way it is introduced. The specification used in the literature is at odds with several desirable properties of recursive preferences because the weights in the time‐aggregator do not sum to one. When we revise the specification in a simple asset pricing model the puzzles resurface. However, when estimating a sequence of increasingly rich models, we find valuation risk under the revised specification consistently improves the ability of the models to match asset price and cash‐flow dynamics.</jats:p>

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Published date: May 2022

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Local EPrints ID: 503743
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/503743
ISSN: 1759-7323
PURE UUID: be278241-89a7-43f6-b723-924e5f951289
ORCID for Oliver Groot: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-6853-1129

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Date deposited: 12 Aug 2025 16:48
Last modified: 22 Aug 2025 02:49

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Author: Oliver Groot ORCID iD
Author: Alexander W. Richter
Author: Nathaniel A. Throckmorton

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