The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

Effect of FRAXplus adjustments on fracture risk reclassification in older Swedish women-results from the SUPERB-study

Effect of FRAXplus adjustments on fracture risk reclassification in older Swedish women-results from the SUPERB-study
Effect of FRAXplus adjustments on fracture risk reclassification in older Swedish women-results from the SUPERB-study

Summary: FRAXplus® facilitates adjustment of FRAX® fracture probabilities for additional clinical risk factors. This study examined how FRAXplus adjustments affect the proportion of older Swedish women eligible for treatment at a major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) probability intervention threshold (IT) ≥ 26%. Background: FRAXplus enables adjustments based on additional clinical information, such as recency of osteoporotic fractures, high-dose oral glucocorticoids, T2DM duration, lumbar spine (LS) bone mineral density (BMD), trabecular bone score (TBS), falls in the previous year, and hip axis length. We aimed to determine how these adjustments alter treatment eligibility in older Swedish women. Methods: Ten-year fracture probabilities with femoral neck BMD were calculated using FRAX and adjusted by FRAXplus in the SUPERB cohort of 3028 Swedish women aged 75 to 80 years. Clinical risk factors (CRFs) and outcomes were collected via questionnaires and national registers over 8 years, with incident X-ray-verified MOFs. FRAXplus adjustments were applied one factor at a time; if multiple were available, the most influential factor was used. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) was calculated. Results: Overall, 90% (n = 2723) had their 10-year MOF probability adjusted upwards, with a mean (± SD) change of 4.25% (5.12%). Common adjustments included HAL (31%), TBS (23%), falls (20%), LS BMD (8%), and recent fracture (5%). Similar patterns were observed for hip fracture probabilities. Among those below the IT using FRAX alone, 1785 remained below, with 365 (20.4%) experiencing incident MOFs. Of 339 women uplifted above the IT using FRAXplus, 119 (35.1%) sustained incident MOFs. Among 904 above the IT with both FRAX and FRAXplus, 324 (35.8%) experienced incident MOFs. The NRI was 4.82% (95% CI: 1.87–7.77%; p < 0.01). Conclusions: FRAXplus improved risk stratification, with a significant proportion of older Swedish women having their fracture probabilities uplifted above the IT, more accurately reflecting their elevated fracture risk, thereby enhancing the utility of risk assessment tools and improving patient management.

FRAXplus, Fracture risk prediction, Hip fracture, Major osteoporotic fracture (MOF), Osteoporosis, Swedish woman
0937-941X
Zoulakis, M.
339da57c-9c44-497a-be8d-5f5d684e7b6d
Johansson, H.
403f6163-8fad-4dc0-ba6d-1cdc4c00e6e8
Harvey, N.C.
ce487fb4-d360-4aac-9d17-9466d6cba145
Axelsson, K.F.
1b319953-04ae-4f73-b221-dd56fd312993
Litsne, H.
43199537-798e-4d2a-9fa4-a6d6e0e855ee
Johansson, L.
ca0a8adb-a188-4364-9ec5-6414a36cafc7
Schini, M
8897d6ef-421b-44ad-ac76-7a66429f5c14
Vandenput, L
c3b7b0c0-78bd-43ad-a867-c7017dafd63d
McCloskey, E V
e968a69f-27b8-4568-987d-5d8dbbdff3fd
Kanis, J A
ec5ad011-1ed5-43e9-acac-b0d4f535f5b1
Lorentzon, Mattias
9d78ed25-2b0c-46c5-a2db-a8b246af0956
Zoulakis, M.
339da57c-9c44-497a-be8d-5f5d684e7b6d
Johansson, H.
403f6163-8fad-4dc0-ba6d-1cdc4c00e6e8
Harvey, N.C.
ce487fb4-d360-4aac-9d17-9466d6cba145
Axelsson, K.F.
1b319953-04ae-4f73-b221-dd56fd312993
Litsne, H.
43199537-798e-4d2a-9fa4-a6d6e0e855ee
Johansson, L.
ca0a8adb-a188-4364-9ec5-6414a36cafc7
Schini, M
8897d6ef-421b-44ad-ac76-7a66429f5c14
Vandenput, L
c3b7b0c0-78bd-43ad-a867-c7017dafd63d
McCloskey, E V
e968a69f-27b8-4568-987d-5d8dbbdff3fd
Kanis, J A
ec5ad011-1ed5-43e9-acac-b0d4f535f5b1
Lorentzon, Mattias
9d78ed25-2b0c-46c5-a2db-a8b246af0956

Zoulakis, M., Johansson, H., Harvey, N.C., Axelsson, K.F., Litsne, H., Johansson, L., Schini, M, Vandenput, L, McCloskey, E V, Kanis, J A and Lorentzon, Mattias (2025) Effect of FRAXplus adjustments on fracture risk reclassification in older Swedish women-results from the SUPERB-study. Osteoporosis International. (doi:10.1007/s00198-025-07588-w). (In Press)

Record type: Article

Abstract

Summary: FRAXplus® facilitates adjustment of FRAX® fracture probabilities for additional clinical risk factors. This study examined how FRAXplus adjustments affect the proportion of older Swedish women eligible for treatment at a major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) probability intervention threshold (IT) ≥ 26%. Background: FRAXplus enables adjustments based on additional clinical information, such as recency of osteoporotic fractures, high-dose oral glucocorticoids, T2DM duration, lumbar spine (LS) bone mineral density (BMD), trabecular bone score (TBS), falls in the previous year, and hip axis length. We aimed to determine how these adjustments alter treatment eligibility in older Swedish women. Methods: Ten-year fracture probabilities with femoral neck BMD were calculated using FRAX and adjusted by FRAXplus in the SUPERB cohort of 3028 Swedish women aged 75 to 80 years. Clinical risk factors (CRFs) and outcomes were collected via questionnaires and national registers over 8 years, with incident X-ray-verified MOFs. FRAXplus adjustments were applied one factor at a time; if multiple were available, the most influential factor was used. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) was calculated. Results: Overall, 90% (n = 2723) had their 10-year MOF probability adjusted upwards, with a mean (± SD) change of 4.25% (5.12%). Common adjustments included HAL (31%), TBS (23%), falls (20%), LS BMD (8%), and recent fracture (5%). Similar patterns were observed for hip fracture probabilities. Among those below the IT using FRAX alone, 1785 remained below, with 365 (20.4%) experiencing incident MOFs. Of 339 women uplifted above the IT using FRAXplus, 119 (35.1%) sustained incident MOFs. Among 904 above the IT with both FRAX and FRAXplus, 324 (35.8%) experienced incident MOFs. The NRI was 4.82% (95% CI: 1.87–7.77%; p < 0.01). Conclusions: FRAXplus improved risk stratification, with a significant proportion of older Swedish women having their fracture probabilities uplifted above the IT, more accurately reflecting their elevated fracture risk, thereby enhancing the utility of risk assessment tools and improving patient management.

Text
s00198-025-07588-w - Version of Record
Download (1MB)

More information

Accepted/In Press date: 15 June 2025
Additional Information: © 2025. The Author(s).
Keywords: FRAXplus, Fracture risk prediction, Hip fracture, Major osteoporotic fracture (MOF), Osteoporosis, Swedish woman

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 504052
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/504052
ISSN: 0937-941X
PURE UUID: 21bab2b6-1123-49b4-bff9-33c345552092
ORCID for N.C. Harvey: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-8194-2512

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 22 Aug 2025 16:30
Last modified: 23 Aug 2025 01:50

Export record

Altmetrics

Contributors

Author: M. Zoulakis
Author: H. Johansson
Author: N.C. Harvey ORCID iD
Author: K.F. Axelsson
Author: H. Litsne
Author: L. Johansson
Author: M Schini
Author: L Vandenput
Author: E V McCloskey
Author: J A Kanis
Author: Mattias Lorentzon

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×