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Constitutive inflammation and epithelial-mesenchymal transition dictate sensitivity to nivolumab in CONFIRM: a placebo-controlled, randomised phase III trial

Constitutive inflammation and epithelial-mesenchymal transition dictate sensitivity to nivolumab in CONFIRM: a placebo-controlled, randomised phase III trial
Constitutive inflammation and epithelial-mesenchymal transition dictate sensitivity to nivolumab in CONFIRM: a placebo-controlled, randomised phase III trial
Leveraging adaptive tumour immunity to control mesothelioma via immune checkpoint blockade is now a standard therapeutic approach. However, the determinants of sensitivity remain elusive. Low non-synonymous mutation burden and programmed death-ligand 1 expression, an abundance of immunosuppressive immune cell infiltration, and 9p21 deletion should all mitigate responses to therapy. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a double blind, placebo-controlled, randomized phase III trial of the PD1 inhibitor, nivolumab (ClinicalTrial.gov registration: NCT03063450). After 37.2 months of follow-up, the primary endpoint of progression free-survival, but not overall survival was met. The nivolumab response rate was 10.3%, and related grade 3 or above adverse events occurred in 20.4% versus 7.2% for placebo. Progression-free and overall survival were longer in nivolumab-treated responders versus non-responders. In an exploratory multiomic analysis, blinded whole exome, transcriptome and multiplex immune profiling were used to interrogate R- versus NR-subgroups. Non-synonymous and neoantigen mutation burden were no different between groups, however R-mesotheliomas were infiltrated with activated CD8+ T- and CD19+ B-lymphocytes, organised into tertiary lymphoid structures. B-cell infiltration correlated with pro-inflammatory chemokines including IL24 and CCL19. Conversely, epithelial-mesenchymal transition and mitosis were associated with resistance to nivolumab. These findings illuminate features which can be leveraged to advance precision immunotherapy in this rare cancer setting.
2041-1723
Fennell, Dean A.
e85713c5-cf7d-4d9c-b0de-f4302baa08ab
Hill, Kayleigh
2c0ee400-2619-495d-81ce-433597a9ba3f
Zhang, Min
b05c2fb3-97e7-49a1-9a42-ca8a7c0cc4f0
Johnson, Lucy
df5fc17f-1ab2-46b6-ad52-299c8a9fd62c
Middleton, Calley
bdb03063-7b12-4ca3-a85e-6ca20437f1b0
Griffiths, Gareth
7fd300c0-d279-4ff6-842d-aa1f2b9b864d
et al.
Fennell, Dean A.
e85713c5-cf7d-4d9c-b0de-f4302baa08ab
Hill, Kayleigh
2c0ee400-2619-495d-81ce-433597a9ba3f
Zhang, Min
b05c2fb3-97e7-49a1-9a42-ca8a7c0cc4f0
Johnson, Lucy
df5fc17f-1ab2-46b6-ad52-299c8a9fd62c
Middleton, Calley
bdb03063-7b12-4ca3-a85e-6ca20437f1b0
Griffiths, Gareth
7fd300c0-d279-4ff6-842d-aa1f2b9b864d

Fennell, Dean A., Hill, Kayleigh, Zhang, Min and Johnson, Lucy , et al. (2025) Constitutive inflammation and epithelial-mesenchymal transition dictate sensitivity to nivolumab in CONFIRM: a placebo-controlled, randomised phase III trial. Nature Communications, 16 (1), [6688]. (doi:10.1038/s41467-025-61691-4).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Leveraging adaptive tumour immunity to control mesothelioma via immune checkpoint blockade is now a standard therapeutic approach. However, the determinants of sensitivity remain elusive. Low non-synonymous mutation burden and programmed death-ligand 1 expression, an abundance of immunosuppressive immune cell infiltration, and 9p21 deletion should all mitigate responses to therapy. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a double blind, placebo-controlled, randomized phase III trial of the PD1 inhibitor, nivolumab (ClinicalTrial.gov registration: NCT03063450). After 37.2 months of follow-up, the primary endpoint of progression free-survival, but not overall survival was met. The nivolumab response rate was 10.3%, and related grade 3 or above adverse events occurred in 20.4% versus 7.2% for placebo. Progression-free and overall survival were longer in nivolumab-treated responders versus non-responders. In an exploratory multiomic analysis, blinded whole exome, transcriptome and multiplex immune profiling were used to interrogate R- versus NR-subgroups. Non-synonymous and neoantigen mutation burden were no different between groups, however R-mesotheliomas were infiltrated with activated CD8+ T- and CD19+ B-lymphocytes, organised into tertiary lymphoid structures. B-cell infiltration correlated with pro-inflammatory chemokines including IL24 and CCL19. Conversely, epithelial-mesenchymal transition and mitosis were associated with resistance to nivolumab. These findings illuminate features which can be leveraged to advance precision immunotherapy in this rare cancer setting.

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Accepted/In Press date: 27 June 2025
Published date: 21 July 2025

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 505061
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/505061
ISSN: 2041-1723
PURE UUID: 30111bbb-6013-43c7-a883-6c30755bf86c
ORCID for Gareth Griffiths: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-9579-8021

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Date deposited: 25 Sep 2025 16:56
Last modified: 26 Sep 2025 01:51

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Contributors

Author: Dean A. Fennell
Author: Kayleigh Hill
Author: Min Zhang
Author: Lucy Johnson
Author: Calley Middleton
Corporate Author: et al.

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