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Effect of hypertension on long-term adverse clinical outcomes and liver fibrosis progression in MASLD

Effect of hypertension on long-term adverse clinical outcomes and liver fibrosis progression in MASLD
Effect of hypertension on long-term adverse clinical outcomes and liver fibrosis progression in MASLD
Background & Aims: hypertension is common in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but its impact on long-term clinical outcomes and disease progression remains unclear. This study investigated the association of hypertension and risk of adverse clinical outcomes and progression of liver stiffness/fibrosis in MASLD.

Methods: three multicenter prospective cohorts were analyzed: the UK BioBank (UKBB) cohort to assess the risk of adverse clinical outcomes, the VCTE-Prognosis cohort to assess liver stiffness/fibrosis progression, and the Paired Liver Biopsy cohort to assess histologic liver fibrosis progression. Adverse clinical outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and/or liver-related events. Liver stiffness progression was defined as an increase in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) from <10 kPa to ≥10 kPa or an increase of ≥20% for baseline LSM ≥10 kPa. Liver fibrosis progression was defined as a 1-stage fibrosis stage increase. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to evaluate the impact of baseline hypertension on the outcomes.

Results: 107,316 adults from the UKBB cohort, 8,169 from the VCTE-Prognosis cohort, and 1,670 from the Paired Liver Biopsy cohort were included. Hypertension rates were 37.1%, 33.4%, and 48.9%, respectively. In the UKBB cohort, hypertension was associated with long-term adverse clinical outcomes (adjusted HR=1.30, 95%CI 1.26-1.33, P<0.001). In the VCTE-Prognosis cohort, hypertension was associated with a higher risk of liver stiffness progression (adjusted HR=1.57, 95%CI 1.30-1.90, P<0.001), while in the Paired Liver Biopsy cohort, hypertension was associated with a greater risk of histologic liver fibrosis progression (adjusted HR=1.41, 95%CI 1.12-1.78, P=0.004). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses supported these findings.

Conclusions: hypertension is a modifiable risk factor and increases risk of adverse clinical outcomes and progression of liver stiffness/fibrosis.
0168-8278
Zhou, Xiao-Dong
730e23d6-7c23-48ab-9023-8dbf76e575f2
Lian, Liyou
2109d4ce-bfa2-4043-af9a-b4a0ee882ea3
Chen, Qin-Fen
db7f6ed3-701d-4050-a1a9-d470346ec430
Kim, Seung Up
c2bb67d9-bbef-4077-801c-2cdee970ecc2
Yip, Terry Cheuk-Fung
87076a64-222b-465d-98ac-ea87c22ed96b
Petta, Salvatore
26c2889e-cc34-4b5c-9444-3a0eadf68532
Nakajima, Atsushi
9afab9db-01a7-481f-b280-6a73218bd18a
Byrne, Chris
1370b997-cead-4229-83a7-53301ed2a43c
VCTE-Prognosis Study Group and Paired Liver Biopsy Consortium
Zhou, Xiao-Dong
730e23d6-7c23-48ab-9023-8dbf76e575f2
Lian, Liyou
2109d4ce-bfa2-4043-af9a-b4a0ee882ea3
Chen, Qin-Fen
db7f6ed3-701d-4050-a1a9-d470346ec430
Kim, Seung Up
c2bb67d9-bbef-4077-801c-2cdee970ecc2
Yip, Terry Cheuk-Fung
87076a64-222b-465d-98ac-ea87c22ed96b
Petta, Salvatore
26c2889e-cc34-4b5c-9444-3a0eadf68532
Nakajima, Atsushi
9afab9db-01a7-481f-b280-6a73218bd18a
Byrne, Chris
1370b997-cead-4229-83a7-53301ed2a43c

Zhou, Xiao-Dong, Lian, Liyou and Chen, Qin-Fen , VCTE-Prognosis Study Group and Paired Liver Biopsy Consortium (2025) Effect of hypertension on long-term adverse clinical outcomes and liver fibrosis progression in MASLD. Journal of Hepatology. (doi:10.1016/j.jhep.2025.08.017).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Background & Aims: hypertension is common in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but its impact on long-term clinical outcomes and disease progression remains unclear. This study investigated the association of hypertension and risk of adverse clinical outcomes and progression of liver stiffness/fibrosis in MASLD.

Methods: three multicenter prospective cohorts were analyzed: the UK BioBank (UKBB) cohort to assess the risk of adverse clinical outcomes, the VCTE-Prognosis cohort to assess liver stiffness/fibrosis progression, and the Paired Liver Biopsy cohort to assess histologic liver fibrosis progression. Adverse clinical outcomes were defined as all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and/or liver-related events. Liver stiffness progression was defined as an increase in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) from <10 kPa to ≥10 kPa or an increase of ≥20% for baseline LSM ≥10 kPa. Liver fibrosis progression was defined as a 1-stage fibrosis stage increase. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to evaluate the impact of baseline hypertension on the outcomes.

Results: 107,316 adults from the UKBB cohort, 8,169 from the VCTE-Prognosis cohort, and 1,670 from the Paired Liver Biopsy cohort were included. Hypertension rates were 37.1%, 33.4%, and 48.9%, respectively. In the UKBB cohort, hypertension was associated with long-term adverse clinical outcomes (adjusted HR=1.30, 95%CI 1.26-1.33, P<0.001). In the VCTE-Prognosis cohort, hypertension was associated with a higher risk of liver stiffness progression (adjusted HR=1.57, 95%CI 1.30-1.90, P<0.001), while in the Paired Liver Biopsy cohort, hypertension was associated with a greater risk of histologic liver fibrosis progression (adjusted HR=1.41, 95%CI 1.12-1.78, P=0.004). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses supported these findings.

Conclusions: hypertension is a modifiable risk factor and increases risk of adverse clinical outcomes and progression of liver stiffness/fibrosis.

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Accepted/In Press date: 5 August 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 23 August 2025

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 505559
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/505559
ISSN: 0168-8278
PURE UUID: 482efb33-1de7-4f60-ae2e-ac0b4acd9b53
ORCID for Chris Byrne: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-6322-7753

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Date deposited: 13 Oct 2025 17:04
Last modified: 14 Oct 2025 01:37

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Contributors

Author: Xiao-Dong Zhou
Author: Liyou Lian
Author: Qin-Fen Chen
Author: Seung Up Kim
Author: Terry Cheuk-Fung Yip
Author: Salvatore Petta
Author: Atsushi Nakajima
Author: Chris Byrne ORCID iD
Corporate Author: VCTE-Prognosis Study Group and Paired Liver Biopsy Consortium

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