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Algorithmic price recommendations and collusion: experimental evidence

Algorithmic price recommendations and collusion: experimental evidence
Algorithmic price recommendations and collusion: experimental evidence

This paper investigates the collusive and competitive effects of algorithmic price recommendations on market outcomes. These recommendations are often non-binding and common in many markets. We develop a theoretical framework and derive two algorithms that recommend collusive pricing strategies. Utilizing a laboratory experiment, we find that sellers condition their prices on the recommendation of the algorithms. The algorithm with a soft punishment strategy lowers market prices and has a pro-competitive effect. The algorithm that recommends a subgame perfect equilibrium strategy increases the range of market outcomes, including more collusive ones.

Bertrand Oligopoly, collusion, experiment, human-machine interaction
1386-4157
298-316
Hunold, Matthias
abdebc54-bbfc-4d6a-addc-2b2ebea711e6
Werner, Tobias
b1f092c4-e6b8-42e1-b615-4e150cd4b165
Hunold, Matthias
abdebc54-bbfc-4d6a-addc-2b2ebea711e6
Werner, Tobias
b1f092c4-e6b8-42e1-b615-4e150cd4b165

Hunold, Matthias and Werner, Tobias (2025) Algorithmic price recommendations and collusion: experimental evidence. Experimental Economics, 28 (2), 298-316. (doi:10.1017/eec.2025.9).

Record type: Article

Abstract

This paper investigates the collusive and competitive effects of algorithmic price recommendations on market outcomes. These recommendations are often non-binding and common in many markets. We develop a theoretical framework and derive two algorithms that recommend collusive pricing strategies. Utilizing a laboratory experiment, we find that sellers condition their prices on the recommendation of the algorithms. The algorithm with a soft punishment strategy lowers market prices and has a pro-competitive effect. The algorithm that recommends a subgame perfect equilibrium strategy increases the range of market outcomes, including more collusive ones.

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Accepted/In Press date: 4 April 2025
Published date: 7 July 2025
Keywords: Bertrand Oligopoly, collusion, experiment, human-machine interaction

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 505955
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/505955
ISSN: 1386-4157
PURE UUID: 6a2c8c10-532a-4d74-b125-5336c838931f
ORCID for Tobias Werner: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-2985-2760

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 24 Oct 2025 16:35
Last modified: 15 Nov 2025 03:26

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Contributors

Author: Matthias Hunold
Author: Tobias Werner ORCID iD

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