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Global gridded multi-temporal datasets to support human population distribution modelling

Global gridded multi-temporal datasets to support human population distribution modelling
Global gridded multi-temporal datasets to support human population distribution modelling

Population distributions across countries and regions exhibit significant spatial and temporal variability. This variation highlights the need for high-resolution, small-area demographic data to address the challenges posed by shifting population dynamics, urbanization, and migration. Small area population modelling, particularly the production of gridded population estimates, has advanced rapidly over the past decade. Gridded population estimates rely heavily on the availability of detailed geospatial ancillary datasets to capture, inform and explain the variabilities in population densities and distributions at small area scales, enabling the disaggregation from areal unit-based counts. Here we describe an extensive geospatial collection of annual, high resolution, spatio-temporally harmonised, global datasets aimed at driving improvements in mapping small area population density variation. This article presents the spatio-temporal harmonisation process that results in an open access repository of 73 individual gridded datasets addressing topography, climate, nighttime lights, land cover, inland water, infrastructure, protected areas as well as the built-up environment on a global level at a spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds (approximately 100 metres). Datasets are available as annual time series from 2015 up to and including at least 2020, and as recent as 2023 where source datasets allow. Such datasets not only support population modelling but also applications across environmental, economic, and health sectors, supporting informed policy-making and resource allocation for sustainable development.

spatial demography; geospatial covariates; high-resolution gridded data; human population; subnational; global; spatial dataset; multi-temporal
2572-4754
Woods, Dorothea
2a542d84-18c1-48d5-b039-ebba67562006
McKeen, Tom
5c616b7e-d068-4941-ae21-3e8aeb74f6ab
Cunningham, Alexander
d67452a2-f592-4784-80b2-1bfd8e5f76ae
Priyatikanto, Rhorom
c250c3ca-958c-46a2-969a-3ad689b8630b
Tatem, Andrew J.
6c6de104-a5f9-46e0-bb93-a1a7c980513e
Sorichetta, Alessandro
c80d941b-a3f5-4a6d-9a19-e3eeba84443c
Bondarenko, Maksym
5dc51584-fc49-4074-95f0-277d7bc0c379
Woods, Dorothea
2a542d84-18c1-48d5-b039-ebba67562006
McKeen, Tom
5c616b7e-d068-4941-ae21-3e8aeb74f6ab
Cunningham, Alexander
d67452a2-f592-4784-80b2-1bfd8e5f76ae
Priyatikanto, Rhorom
c250c3ca-958c-46a2-969a-3ad689b8630b
Tatem, Andrew J.
6c6de104-a5f9-46e0-bb93-a1a7c980513e
Sorichetta, Alessandro
c80d941b-a3f5-4a6d-9a19-e3eeba84443c
Bondarenko, Maksym
5dc51584-fc49-4074-95f0-277d7bc0c379

Woods, Dorothea, McKeen, Tom, Cunningham, Alexander, Priyatikanto, Rhorom, Tatem, Andrew J., Sorichetta, Alessandro and Bondarenko, Maksym (2025) Global gridded multi-temporal datasets to support human population distribution modelling. Gates Open Research, 9, [72]. (doi:10.12688/gatesopenres.16363.1).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Population distributions across countries and regions exhibit significant spatial and temporal variability. This variation highlights the need for high-resolution, small-area demographic data to address the challenges posed by shifting population dynamics, urbanization, and migration. Small area population modelling, particularly the production of gridded population estimates, has advanced rapidly over the past decade. Gridded population estimates rely heavily on the availability of detailed geospatial ancillary datasets to capture, inform and explain the variabilities in population densities and distributions at small area scales, enabling the disaggregation from areal unit-based counts. Here we describe an extensive geospatial collection of annual, high resolution, spatio-temporally harmonised, global datasets aimed at driving improvements in mapping small area population density variation. This article presents the spatio-temporal harmonisation process that results in an open access repository of 73 individual gridded datasets addressing topography, climate, nighttime lights, land cover, inland water, infrastructure, protected areas as well as the built-up environment on a global level at a spatial resolution of 3 arc-seconds (approximately 100 metres). Datasets are available as annual time series from 2015 up to and including at least 2020, and as recent as 2023 where source datasets allow. Such datasets not only support population modelling but also applications across environmental, economic, and health sectors, supporting informed policy-making and resource allocation for sustainable development.

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e-pub ahead of print date: 15 September 2025
Keywords: spatial demography; geospatial covariates; high-resolution gridded data; human population; subnational; global; spatial dataset; multi-temporal

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 506542
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/506542
ISSN: 2572-4754
PURE UUID: 77217fc5-ae36-4d7b-b2d3-97c489cb14e0
ORCID for Dorothea Woods: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-9669-9631
ORCID for Rhorom Priyatikanto: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-1203-2651
ORCID for Andrew J. Tatem: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-7270-941X
ORCID for Alessandro Sorichetta: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-3576-5826

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 11 Nov 2025 17:40
Last modified: 15 Nov 2025 03:06

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Contributors

Author: Dorothea Woods ORCID iD
Author: Tom McKeen
Author: Rhorom Priyatikanto ORCID iD
Author: Andrew J. Tatem ORCID iD
Author: Maksym Bondarenko

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