The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution

Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution
Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution
Amid widespread concerns about the crisis of democracy, scant scholarly attention has been given to the views of elite politicians who are at the helm of democracy and, for instance, have the ability to halt democratic erosion and improve citizens’ support for democracy. In this paper we addresses this important gap by investigating whether and why top politicians in Belgium and Australia are optimistic or pessimistic about democracy and its evolution. Drawing on 44 in-depth interviews with party leaders and ministers, we conduct a qualitative content analysis to examine the reasons behind elites’ optimism or pessimism about how “their” democracy is evolving. From their reflections, we learn that there is quite some variation in politicians’ views but that many, especially in Belgium, are pessimistic about how democracy evolves. The main source of pessimism stems from the tension between citizens’ expectations and politicians’ ability to deliver on these expectations. Elites say that politicians these days tend to overpromise what they can deliver, and citizens – fueled by (social) media and extremist opposition forces – are viewed as harboring unrealistic expectations. Yet, while top politicians are ultimately responsible for shaping democracy, they do not seem to take responsibility for halting the crisis of democracy.
democratic optimism, elite politicians, democratic pessimism, State of democracy, interviews
1351-0347
Junius, Nino
f97b7e8a-4bfb-458e-a0c7-66f737ca6317
Soontjens, Karolin
76b291f3-fd99-4b14-b19e-33c6371c0197
Kuraishi, Anam
6a8ba591-8186-4bcf-99a1-95c9cf4a3e03
Pilet, Jean Benoit
de1674ba-10da-4d41-8a5a-04172e53128f
Taflaga, Marija
75c74519-8370-43e1-a241-25df74008fdd
Werner, Annika
dcafc9c0-9649-427b-b550-04d03e3c0b24
Dumont, Patrick
f1f101c9-4eed-4982-aa7a-60fb1a8d6093
Walgrave, Stefaan
d1364abb-3804-4b74-a030-a3b1b3d04182
Junius, Nino
f97b7e8a-4bfb-458e-a0c7-66f737ca6317
Soontjens, Karolin
76b291f3-fd99-4b14-b19e-33c6371c0197
Kuraishi, Anam
6a8ba591-8186-4bcf-99a1-95c9cf4a3e03
Pilet, Jean Benoit
de1674ba-10da-4d41-8a5a-04172e53128f
Taflaga, Marija
75c74519-8370-43e1-a241-25df74008fdd
Werner, Annika
dcafc9c0-9649-427b-b550-04d03e3c0b24
Dumont, Patrick
f1f101c9-4eed-4982-aa7a-60fb1a8d6093
Walgrave, Stefaan
d1364abb-3804-4b74-a030-a3b1b3d04182

Junius, Nino, Soontjens, Karolin, Kuraishi, Anam, Pilet, Jean Benoit, Taflaga, Marija, Werner, Annika, Dumont, Patrick and Walgrave, Stefaan (2025) Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution. Democratization. (doi:10.1080/13510347.2025.2552992).

Record type: Review

Abstract

Amid widespread concerns about the crisis of democracy, scant scholarly attention has been given to the views of elite politicians who are at the helm of democracy and, for instance, have the ability to halt democratic erosion and improve citizens’ support for democracy. In this paper we addresses this important gap by investigating whether and why top politicians in Belgium and Australia are optimistic or pessimistic about democracy and its evolution. Drawing on 44 in-depth interviews with party leaders and ministers, we conduct a qualitative content analysis to examine the reasons behind elites’ optimism or pessimism about how “their” democracy is evolving. From their reflections, we learn that there is quite some variation in politicians’ views but that many, especially in Belgium, are pessimistic about how democracy evolves. The main source of pessimism stems from the tension between citizens’ expectations and politicians’ ability to deliver on these expectations. Elites say that politicians these days tend to overpromise what they can deliver, and citizens – fueled by (social) media and extremist opposition forces – are viewed as harboring unrealistic expectations. Yet, while top politicians are ultimately responsible for shaping democracy, they do not seem to take responsibility for halting the crisis of democracy.

Text
Author_Version_ Democratization2025 - Accepted Manuscript
Restricted to Repository staff only until 9 March 2027.
Request a copy
Text
Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution - Version of Record
Restricted to Repository staff only
Request a copy

More information

Accepted/In Press date: 22 August 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 9 September 2025
Published date: 9 September 2025
Keywords: democratic optimism, elite politicians, democratic pessimism, State of democracy, interviews

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 506630
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/506630
ISSN: 1351-0347
PURE UUID: 69f74bf5-ae1c-4300-a1d2-898bffab9c62
ORCID for Annika Werner: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-7341-0551

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 12 Nov 2025 17:45
Last modified: 13 Nov 2025 03:13

Export record

Altmetrics

Contributors

Author: Nino Junius
Author: Karolin Soontjens
Author: Anam Kuraishi
Author: Jean Benoit Pilet
Author: Marija Taflaga
Author: Annika Werner ORCID iD
Author: Patrick Dumont
Author: Stefaan Walgrave

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×