Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution
Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution
Amid widespread concerns about the crisis of democracy, scant scholarly attention has been given to the views of elite politicians who are at the helm of democracy and, for instance, have the ability to halt democratic erosion and improve citizens’ support for democracy. In this paper we addresses this important gap by investigating whether and why top politicians in Belgium and Australia are optimistic or pessimistic about democracy and its evolution. Drawing on 44 in-depth interviews with party leaders and ministers, we conduct a qualitative content analysis to examine the reasons behind elites’ optimism or pessimism about how “their” democracy is evolving. From their reflections, we learn that there is quite some variation in politicians’ views but that many, especially in Belgium, are pessimistic about how democracy evolves. The main source of pessimism stems from the tension between citizens’ expectations and politicians’ ability to deliver on these expectations. Elites say that politicians these days tend to overpromise what they can deliver, and citizens – fueled by (social) media and extremist opposition forces – are viewed as harboring unrealistic expectations. Yet, while top politicians are ultimately responsible for shaping democracy, they do not seem to take responsibility for halting the crisis of democracy.
democratic optimism, elite politicians, democratic pessimism, State of democracy, interviews
Junius, Nino
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Soontjens, Karolin
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Kuraishi, Anam
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Pilet, Jean Benoit
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Taflaga, Marija
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Werner, Annika
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Dumont, Patrick
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Walgrave, Stefaan
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9 September 2025
Junius, Nino
f97b7e8a-4bfb-458e-a0c7-66f737ca6317
Soontjens, Karolin
76b291f3-fd99-4b14-b19e-33c6371c0197
Kuraishi, Anam
6a8ba591-8186-4bcf-99a1-95c9cf4a3e03
Pilet, Jean Benoit
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Taflaga, Marija
75c74519-8370-43e1-a241-25df74008fdd
Werner, Annika
dcafc9c0-9649-427b-b550-04d03e3c0b24
Dumont, Patrick
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Walgrave, Stefaan
d1364abb-3804-4b74-a030-a3b1b3d04182
Junius, Nino, Soontjens, Karolin, Kuraishi, Anam, Pilet, Jean Benoit, Taflaga, Marija, Werner, Annika, Dumont, Patrick and Walgrave, Stefaan
(2025)
Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution.
Democratization.
(doi:10.1080/13510347.2025.2552992).
Abstract
Amid widespread concerns about the crisis of democracy, scant scholarly attention has been given to the views of elite politicians who are at the helm of democracy and, for instance, have the ability to halt democratic erosion and improve citizens’ support for democracy. In this paper we addresses this important gap by investigating whether and why top politicians in Belgium and Australia are optimistic or pessimistic about democracy and its evolution. Drawing on 44 in-depth interviews with party leaders and ministers, we conduct a qualitative content analysis to examine the reasons behind elites’ optimism or pessimism about how “their” democracy is evolving. From their reflections, we learn that there is quite some variation in politicians’ views but that many, especially in Belgium, are pessimistic about how democracy evolves. The main source of pessimism stems from the tension between citizens’ expectations and politicians’ ability to deliver on these expectations. Elites say that politicians these days tend to overpromise what they can deliver, and citizens – fueled by (social) media and extremist opposition forces – are viewed as harboring unrealistic expectations. Yet, while top politicians are ultimately responsible for shaping democracy, they do not seem to take responsibility for halting the crisis of democracy.
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Why top politicians are pessimistic or optimistic about democracy and its evolution
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Accepted/In Press date: 22 August 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 9 September 2025
Published date: 9 September 2025
Keywords:
democratic optimism, elite politicians, democratic pessimism, State of democracy, interviews
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 506630
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/506630
ISSN: 1351-0347
PURE UUID: 69f74bf5-ae1c-4300-a1d2-898bffab9c62
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Date deposited: 12 Nov 2025 17:45
Last modified: 13 Nov 2025 03:13
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Contributors
Author:
Nino Junius
Author:
Karolin Soontjens
Author:
Anam Kuraishi
Author:
Jean Benoit Pilet
Author:
Marija Taflaga
Author:
Annika Werner
Author:
Patrick Dumont
Author:
Stefaan Walgrave
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