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Discrepancy between mammographic and pathological sizing of screen-detected DCIS: risk factors and impact on ipsilateral recurrence rates

Discrepancy between mammographic and pathological sizing of screen-detected DCIS: risk factors and impact on ipsilateral recurrence rates
Discrepancy between mammographic and pathological sizing of screen-detected DCIS: risk factors and impact on ipsilateral recurrence rates

Background: Discrepancy between mammographic and pathological sizing of DCIS can lead to surgical overtreatment, with poorer cosmesis or unnecessary mastectomy, or undertreatment and recurrence. Methods: Within the UK Sloane Project prospective cohort study of screen-detected DCIS (2003–2012), we investigated factors associated with 'pathology larger (PL)’ (pathological larger than mammographic size) or ‘mammogram larger (ML)’ (mammographic larger than pathologic size), size discrepancy and the impact on ipsilateral recurrence. Results: Among 9937 patients (mean age 60; range 46–87), mammographic size remained constant at median 19 mm (IQR 10–35)mm whilst pathological size increased from 16(10–28)mm to 20(10–33)mm (p = 0.001)over the study. The mammographic and pathological size discrepancy decreased from 3.4 mm to 0.2 mm (p < 0.05). In patients undergoing BCS, size discrepancy of ≥5 mm was associated with increased 5-year ipsilateral recurrence if lesions were PL (odds ratio(OR) 1.37 (C.I. 1.03–1.82, p = 0.03) and if lesions were ML (OR 1.4 (C.I. 1.10–1.86, p = 0.008), compared to <5 mm discrepancy. Factors associated with PL by ≥ 5 mm were high grade (OR 1.9 [95 % CI 1.5–2.4, p < 0.001]) and mastectomy (OR 4.4 [C.I. 3.8–5.1, p < 0.001]) and for ML ≥ 5 mm was larger mammographic tumour size (>40 mm; OR 115.7 [C.I. 82.3–162.6], p < 0.001]). Conclusion: Mammographic-pathological size discrepancy is associated with higher recurrence following BCS for DCIS.

0748-7983
Kirwan, C. C.
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Hilton, B.
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Clements, K.
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Dodwell, D.
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Pinder, S. E.
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Shaaban, A.
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Stobart, H.
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Wallis, M.
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Provenzano, E.
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Maxwell, A. J.
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Sharma, N.
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Sawyer, E.
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Lowes, S.
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Kearins, O.
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Cutress, R. I.
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Mylvaganam, S.
69d44b29-5c5f-4dd6-976a-8cee876196c8
Thompson, A.
e1baeb9d-9ade-4e01-a52f-cace03fabb9b
the Sloane Project Steering Group (NHS Prospective Study of Screen-Detected Non-invasive Neoplasias)
Kirwan, C. C.
ce33b6cf-d463-4825-baea-2bfe718b85c3
Hilton, B.
dc3476e3-3c77-4783-854b-a2053f49ed29
Clements, K.
fcf93f15-7cf7-4d1b-a92f-bbedcdf76de5
Dodwell, D.
ff297c15-b1b2-44ea-8137-112ecdf8ddeb
Pinder, S. E.
cba36440-bf6f-44ca-964f-9430415e6c86
Shaaban, A.
11b60529-2080-4dd3-9b35-62ea0f214eec
Stobart, H.
70e14214-0454-464d-bb11-6a38206b99bf
Wallis, M.
f7062eff-15b0-4f93-aa80-4f4012c9dc78
Provenzano, E.
82947ec0-92a3-4ef3-8269-7bf313a1ba92
Maxwell, A. J.
f217207f-4288-4729-b96a-15e02f701801
Sharma, N.
5cb90431-b081-414c-bb16-238da0ec84e4
Sawyer, E.
e3ad320a-b2c4-4abf-802f-744ab07a65bc
Lowes, S.
c3f4d4b0-5508-40d1-a121-d5d402f6d7c1
Kearins, O.
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Cutress, R. I.
68ae4f86-e8cf-411f-a335-cdba51797406
Mylvaganam, S.
69d44b29-5c5f-4dd6-976a-8cee876196c8
Thompson, A.
e1baeb9d-9ade-4e01-a52f-cace03fabb9b

the Sloane Project Steering Group (NHS Prospective Study of Screen-Detected Non-invasive Neoplasias) (2025) Discrepancy between mammographic and pathological sizing of screen-detected DCIS: risk factors and impact on ipsilateral recurrence rates. European Journal of Surgical Oncology, 51 (11), [110431]. (doi:10.1016/j.ejso.2025.110431).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Background: Discrepancy between mammographic and pathological sizing of DCIS can lead to surgical overtreatment, with poorer cosmesis or unnecessary mastectomy, or undertreatment and recurrence. Methods: Within the UK Sloane Project prospective cohort study of screen-detected DCIS (2003–2012), we investigated factors associated with 'pathology larger (PL)’ (pathological larger than mammographic size) or ‘mammogram larger (ML)’ (mammographic larger than pathologic size), size discrepancy and the impact on ipsilateral recurrence. Results: Among 9937 patients (mean age 60; range 46–87), mammographic size remained constant at median 19 mm (IQR 10–35)mm whilst pathological size increased from 16(10–28)mm to 20(10–33)mm (p = 0.001)over the study. The mammographic and pathological size discrepancy decreased from 3.4 mm to 0.2 mm (p < 0.05). In patients undergoing BCS, size discrepancy of ≥5 mm was associated with increased 5-year ipsilateral recurrence if lesions were PL (odds ratio(OR) 1.37 (C.I. 1.03–1.82, p = 0.03) and if lesions were ML (OR 1.4 (C.I. 1.10–1.86, p = 0.008), compared to <5 mm discrepancy. Factors associated with PL by ≥ 5 mm were high grade (OR 1.9 [95 % CI 1.5–2.4, p < 0.001]) and mastectomy (OR 4.4 [C.I. 3.8–5.1, p < 0.001]) and for ML ≥ 5 mm was larger mammographic tumour size (>40 mm; OR 115.7 [C.I. 82.3–162.6], p < 0.001]). Conclusion: Mammographic-pathological size discrepancy is associated with higher recurrence following BCS for DCIS.

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Kirwan Sloane Size discrep LR in DCIS amended manucript_ - Accepted Manuscript
Restricted to Repository staff only until 11 September 2026.
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Kirwan Sloane Size discrep LR in DCIS amended manucript_
Restricted to Repository staff only
Request a copy

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Accepted/In Press date: 2 September 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 3 September 2025
Published date: 1 November 2025
Additional Information: Copyright © 2025. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 507113
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/507113
ISSN: 0748-7983
PURE UUID: 4a0929d2-d327-49de-b58e-77b2d0c043eb

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Date deposited: 27 Nov 2025 17:36
Last modified: 01 Dec 2025 17:50

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Contributors

Author: C. C. Kirwan
Author: B. Hilton
Author: K. Clements
Author: D. Dodwell
Author: S. E. Pinder
Author: A. Shaaban
Author: H. Stobart
Author: M. Wallis
Author: E. Provenzano
Author: A. J. Maxwell
Author: N. Sharma
Author: E. Sawyer
Author: S. Lowes
Author: O. Kearins
Author: R. I. Cutress
Author: S. Mylvaganam
Author: A. Thompson
Corporate Author: the Sloane Project Steering Group (NHS Prospective Study of Screen-Detected Non-invasive Neoplasias)

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