Modelling the influence of vitamin D and probiotics on inflammation and the intestinal microbiota in older adults
Modelling the influence of vitamin D and probiotics on inflammation and the intestinal microbiota in older adults
The relationship between the intestinal microbiota and human health during ageing is an area of increasing interest due to increasing health challenges experienced by ageing populations. This paper develops a mathematical model describing the age-related biological changes associated with alterations to the microbiota, vitamin D levels, immunosenescence and inflammageing to determine the likely impact of manipulating the intestinal microbiota with dietary components. Age-dependent parameters are incorporated into a previously developed model to determine the evolution of intestinal bacterial populations, vitamin D receptor:1,25 dihydroxyvitamin D levels, epithelial barrier integrity and immune response with increasing age. Results suggest an age-related decline in both innate and adaptive immunity, weakening of the intestinal barrier, elevation in systemic inflammation and reduced serum vitamin D, resulting in individuals over 60 years old becoming vitamin D deficient (<50 nmol/L). Numerical simulations indicate that administration of probiotics and/or vitamin D supplements upregulates the VDR complex at all ages, which helps restore epithelial barrier function, particularly in older adults in whom the intestinal barrier has been compromised. The greatest benefit is derived from co-supplementation with probiotics and age-dependent doses of vitamin D. Finally, the value of gathering additional experimental data motivated by the modelling insights is discussed.
Franks, Susan
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Dunster, Joanne
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Carding, Simon
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Lord, Janet
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Hewison, Martin
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Calder, Philip
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King, John
b46f328e-a33b-404d-a29b-18ae4fd59618
26 November 2025
Franks, Susan
0eeaac88-02d6-418c-806f-fe5ab22a209e
Dunster, Joanne
02b929aa-eea4-4c40-939f-ad1068e58d36
Carding, Simon
52e41fa8-2b4d-4add-9b30-d096376ef523
Lord, Janet
439ac05c-1f54-4f65-bbe8-d99c906130ae
Hewison, Martin
c5f9a487-db12-4157-b346-76add70c7233
Calder, Philip
1797e54f-378e-4dcb-80a4-3e30018f07a6
King, John
b46f328e-a33b-404d-a29b-18ae4fd59618
Franks, Susan, Dunster, Joanne, Carding, Simon, Lord, Janet, Hewison, Martin, Calder, Philip and King, John
(2025)
Modelling the influence of vitamin D and probiotics on inflammation and the intestinal microbiota in older adults.
Scientific Reports, 15, [42048].
(doi:10.1038/s41598-025-26132-8).
Abstract
The relationship between the intestinal microbiota and human health during ageing is an area of increasing interest due to increasing health challenges experienced by ageing populations. This paper develops a mathematical model describing the age-related biological changes associated with alterations to the microbiota, vitamin D levels, immunosenescence and inflammageing to determine the likely impact of manipulating the intestinal microbiota with dietary components. Age-dependent parameters are incorporated into a previously developed model to determine the evolution of intestinal bacterial populations, vitamin D receptor:1,25 dihydroxyvitamin D levels, epithelial barrier integrity and immune response with increasing age. Results suggest an age-related decline in both innate and adaptive immunity, weakening of the intestinal barrier, elevation in systemic inflammation and reduced serum vitamin D, resulting in individuals over 60 years old becoming vitamin D deficient (<50 nmol/L). Numerical simulations indicate that administration of probiotics and/or vitamin D supplements upregulates the VDR complex at all ages, which helps restore epithelial barrier function, particularly in older adults in whom the intestinal barrier has been compromised. The greatest benefit is derived from co-supplementation with probiotics and age-dependent doses of vitamin D. Finally, the value of gathering additional experimental data motivated by the modelling insights is discussed.
Text
Modelling the influence of supplementation in older adults_accepted
- Accepted Manuscript
Text
s41598-025-26132-8
- Version of Record
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Accepted/In Press date: 27 October 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 26 November 2025
Published date: 26 November 2025
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 507299
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/507299
ISSN: 2045-2322
PURE UUID: c68cae20-1010-411b-9bf9-47169c2e8936
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Date deposited: 03 Dec 2025 17:37
Last modified: 06 Dec 2025 02:34
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Contributors
Author:
Susan Franks
Author:
Joanne Dunster
Author:
Simon Carding
Author:
Janet Lord
Author:
Martin Hewison
Author:
John King
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