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Terrorism and education: Evidence from instrumental variables estimators

Terrorism and education: Evidence from instrumental variables estimators
Terrorism and education: Evidence from instrumental variables estimators
This paper estimates the effect of exposure to terrorist violence on education. Since terrorists may choose targets endogenously, we construct a set of novel instruments. To that end, we leverage exogenous variation from a local terrorist group's revenues and its affiliation with al-Qaeda. Across several Kenyan datasets, we find that attacks suppress school enrolment more than predicted by difference-in-differences-type estimators. This indicates that terrorists target areas experiencing unobserved, positive shocks. Evidence suggests fears and concerns as mechanisms of impact, rather than educational supply.
0883-7252
906-925
Alfano, Marco
0df2fd10-8c2e-444f-9ec2-5c5e74c1a99e
Goerlach, Joseph-Simon
aaf42743-f864-4d06-bef6-0d6b51c32df3
Alfano, Marco
0df2fd10-8c2e-444f-9ec2-5c5e74c1a99e
Goerlach, Joseph-Simon
aaf42743-f864-4d06-bef6-0d6b51c32df3

Alfano, Marco and Goerlach, Joseph-Simon (2024) Terrorism and education: Evidence from instrumental variables estimators. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 39 (5), 906-925. (doi:10.1002/jae.3058).

Record type: Article

Abstract

This paper estimates the effect of exposure to terrorist violence on education. Since terrorists may choose targets endogenously, we construct a set of novel instruments. To that end, we leverage exogenous variation from a local terrorist group's revenues and its affiliation with al-Qaeda. Across several Kenyan datasets, we find that attacks suppress school enrolment more than predicted by difference-in-differences-type estimators. This indicates that terrorists target areas experiencing unobserved, positive shocks. Evidence suggests fears and concerns as mechanisms of impact, rather than educational supply.

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More information

Accepted/In Press date: 22 January 2024
Published date: 9 May 2024

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 507551
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/507551
ISSN: 0883-7252
PURE UUID: b8d164a2-0b33-4cca-b730-0f4489ff1696
ORCID for Marco Alfano: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0001-5491-2054

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Date deposited: 11 Dec 2025 17:54
Last modified: 13 Dec 2025 03:10

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Contributors

Author: Marco Alfano ORCID iD
Author: Joseph-Simon Goerlach

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