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Antarctic Bottom Water in a changing climate

Antarctic Bottom Water in a changing climate
Antarctic Bottom Water in a changing climate
Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) is derived from dense water that sinks from the Antarctic continental shelf to the deep ocean. The sinking of AABW is balanced by a return flow of lighter water, and the resulting overturning circulation determines the density stratification of the deep ocean, regulates ocean storage of heat and carbon, and supplies oxygen to the deep sea. In this Review, we highlight progress in understanding how and why AABW is changing and the consequences for the deep overturning circulation. Since the mid-1980s, ocean heat content below 4,000 dbar has increased at a rate of 12.9 (±1.8) trillion watts, and the AABW has thinned by more than 50 dbar decade −1, with more rapid thinning observed closer to the sources of AABW. The abyssal overturning circulation has slowed in response to freshening of shelf waters by glacial melt and changes in sea ice formation. Numerical model simulations indicate that these trends will accelerate under projected increases in meltwater input. Future research priorities include sustained observations in the deep ocean and on the Antarctic continental shelf; exploration of feedbacks between ocean circulation, sea ice, dense water formation and ice shelf melt; and improved representation of AABW in ocean and climate models.
Rintoul, Stephen R.
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Stewart, Andrew L.
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Johnson, Gregory C.
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Zhou, Shenjie
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Foppert, Annie
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Li, Qian
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Morrison, Adele K.
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Silvano, Alessandro
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Gunn, Kathryn L.
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England, Matthew H.
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Nihashi, Sohey
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Aoki, Shigeru
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Rintoul, Stephen R.
ff078a21-d6cd-45bf-8c8f-f81f2e8ae410
Stewart, Andrew L.
f042b0ae-176d-4c02-831f-40272cf171b9
Johnson, Gregory C.
666537af-5a06-41a3-8242-ffce0e7da809
Zhou, Shenjie
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Foppert, Annie
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Li, Qian
b70cbe19-fa41-4d5f-b6f7-ec6a4d4e29b3
Morrison, Adele K.
b12a22ca-9d4a-4758-9a24-522754f91094
Silvano, Alessandro
54a4322b-c52d-4179-a414-dc108c416ec9
Gunn, Kathryn L.
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England, Matthew H.
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Nihashi, Sohey
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Aoki, Shigeru
cb751efe-f7e4-4699-9655-61bb4a8ff463

Rintoul, Stephen R., Stewart, Andrew L., Johnson, Gregory C., Zhou, Shenjie, Foppert, Annie, Li, Qian, Morrison, Adele K., Silvano, Alessandro, Gunn, Kathryn L., England, Matthew H., Nihashi, Sohey and Aoki, Shigeru (2025) Antarctic Bottom Water in a changing climate. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. (doi:10.1038/s43017-025-00750-2).

Record type: Review

Abstract

Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) is derived from dense water that sinks from the Antarctic continental shelf to the deep ocean. The sinking of AABW is balanced by a return flow of lighter water, and the resulting overturning circulation determines the density stratification of the deep ocean, regulates ocean storage of heat and carbon, and supplies oxygen to the deep sea. In this Review, we highlight progress in understanding how and why AABW is changing and the consequences for the deep overturning circulation. Since the mid-1980s, ocean heat content below 4,000 dbar has increased at a rate of 12.9 (±1.8) trillion watts, and the AABW has thinned by more than 50 dbar decade −1, with more rapid thinning observed closer to the sources of AABW. The abyssal overturning circulation has slowed in response to freshening of shelf waters by glacial melt and changes in sea ice formation. Numerical model simulations indicate that these trends will accelerate under projected increases in meltwater input. Future research priorities include sustained observations in the deep ocean and on the Antarctic continental shelf; exploration of feedbacks between ocean circulation, sea ice, dense water formation and ice shelf melt; and improved representation of AABW in ocean and climate models.

Text
aabw_review_revision - Accepted Manuscript
Restricted to Repository staff only until 9 June 2026.
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More information

Submitted date: 3 November 2025
Accepted/In Press date: 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 9 December 2025
Additional Information: Publisher Copyright: © Crown 2025.

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 508714
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/508714
PURE UUID: d317d621-46b6-4b6c-a658-87d439dee949
ORCID for Alessandro Silvano: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-6441-1496
ORCID for Kathryn L. Gunn: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0003-2397-5364

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Date deposited: 30 Jan 2026 18:01
Last modified: 31 Jan 2026 08:17

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Contributors

Author: Stephen R. Rintoul
Author: Andrew L. Stewart
Author: Gregory C. Johnson
Author: Shenjie Zhou
Author: Annie Foppert
Author: Qian Li
Author: Adele K. Morrison
Author: Kathryn L. Gunn ORCID iD
Author: Matthew H. England
Author: Sohey Nihashi
Author: Shigeru Aoki

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