Interdependent hazards, local interactions, and the return decision of recent migrants
Interdependent hazards, local interactions, and the return decision of recent migrants
We propose a new statistical model of spatially interdependent hazards in order to examine whether interactions at the level of the neighbourhood are present. To address the endogeneity of location choices, we also implement a weighting scheme that combines insights from inverse propensity score weighting and Bartik-shift-share instrumentation. The good performance of our approach is demonstrated in a Monte Carlo study. In our empirical application a unique large administrative dataset of recent Turkish labour immigrants to The Netherlands is used. We find a positive spatial interaction parameter and show that the local spatial multipliers are substantial.
Bijwaard, Govert E.
7cab5d16-ac6c-436a-8588-0d3bce1547b3
Schluter, Christian
ae043254-4cc4-48aa-abad-56a36554de2b
Bijwaard, Govert E.
7cab5d16-ac6c-436a-8588-0d3bce1547b3
Schluter, Christian
ae043254-4cc4-48aa-abad-56a36554de2b
Bijwaard, Govert E. and Schluter, Christian
(2025)
Interdependent hazards, local interactions, and the return decision of recent migrants.
Spatial Economic Analysis.
(doi:10.1080/17421772.2025.2530498).
Abstract
We propose a new statistical model of spatially interdependent hazards in order to examine whether interactions at the level of the neighbourhood are present. To address the endogeneity of location choices, we also implement a weighting scheme that combines insights from inverse propensity score weighting and Bartik-shift-share instrumentation. The good performance of our approach is demonstrated in a Monte Carlo study. In our empirical application a unique large administrative dataset of recent Turkish labour immigrants to The Netherlands is used. We find a positive spatial interaction parameter and show that the local spatial multipliers are substantial.
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Interdependent hazards local interactions and the return decision of recent migrants
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Accepted/In Press date: 19 June 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 11 August 2025
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 508809
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/508809
ISSN: 1742-1772
PURE UUID: 19389882-501d-43c4-b580-dbb5b8b0c13a
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Date deposited: 04 Feb 2026 17:32
Last modified: 04 Feb 2026 17:33
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Author:
Govert E. Bijwaard
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