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Prediction of the spread of Corona-virus carrying droplets in a bus - a computational based artificial intelligence approach

Prediction of the spread of Corona-virus carrying droplets in a bus - a computational based artificial intelligence approach
Prediction of the spread of Corona-virus carrying droplets in a bus - a computational based artificial intelligence approach
Public transport has been identified as high risk as the corona-virus carrying droplets generated by the infected passengers could be distributed to other passengers. Therefore, predicting the patterns of droplet spreading in public transport environment is of primary importance. This paper puts forward a novel computational and artificial intelligence (AI) framework for fast prediction of the spread of droplets produced by a sneezing passenger in a bus. The formation of droplets of salvia is numerically modelled using a volume of fluid methodology applied to the mouth and lips of an infected person during the sneezing process. This is followed by a large eddy simulation of the resultant two phase flow in the vicinity of the person while the effects of droplet evaporation and ventilation in the bus are considered. The results are subsequently fed to an AI tool that employs deep learning to predict the distribution of droplets in the entire volume of the bus. This combined framework is two orders of magnitude faster than the pure computational approach. It is shown that the droplets with diameters less than 250 micrometers are most responsible for the transmission of the virus, as they can travel the entire length of the bus.
0304-3894
Mesgarpour, Mehrdad
6c591e14-3acf-49d4-bdf5-b4aed95e68e0
Abad, Javad Mohebbi Najm
fa1efa05-4fbe-4735-b01a-56c6e55049e3
Alizadeh, Rasool
efe968fc-8ede-42db-a49e-69e93dbd5eca
Wongwises, Somchai
9c657d35-24fc-4ceb-a9b9-13aae9bc84b9
Doranehgard, Mohammad Hossein
aceb5c4f-5aa9-4990-8720-adb25fd9aaf8
Ghaderi, Saeidreza
f0ca7976-f512-4c04-b5d9-a53172b98bf8
Karimi, Nader
620646d6-27c9-4e1e-948f-f23e4a1e773a
Mesgarpour, Mehrdad
6c591e14-3acf-49d4-bdf5-b4aed95e68e0
Abad, Javad Mohebbi Najm
fa1efa05-4fbe-4735-b01a-56c6e55049e3
Alizadeh, Rasool
efe968fc-8ede-42db-a49e-69e93dbd5eca
Wongwises, Somchai
9c657d35-24fc-4ceb-a9b9-13aae9bc84b9
Doranehgard, Mohammad Hossein
aceb5c4f-5aa9-4990-8720-adb25fd9aaf8
Ghaderi, Saeidreza
f0ca7976-f512-4c04-b5d9-a53172b98bf8
Karimi, Nader
620646d6-27c9-4e1e-948f-f23e4a1e773a

Mesgarpour, Mehrdad, Abad, Javad Mohebbi Najm, Alizadeh, Rasool, Wongwises, Somchai, Doranehgard, Mohammad Hossein, Ghaderi, Saeidreza and Karimi, Nader (2021) Prediction of the spread of Corona-virus carrying droplets in a bus - a computational based artificial intelligence approach. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 413, [125358]. (doi:10.1016/j.jhazmat.2021.125358).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Public transport has been identified as high risk as the corona-virus carrying droplets generated by the infected passengers could be distributed to other passengers. Therefore, predicting the patterns of droplet spreading in public transport environment is of primary importance. This paper puts forward a novel computational and artificial intelligence (AI) framework for fast prediction of the spread of droplets produced by a sneezing passenger in a bus. The formation of droplets of salvia is numerically modelled using a volume of fluid methodology applied to the mouth and lips of an infected person during the sneezing process. This is followed by a large eddy simulation of the resultant two phase flow in the vicinity of the person while the effects of droplet evaporation and ventilation in the bus are considered. The results are subsequently fed to an AI tool that employs deep learning to predict the distribution of droplets in the entire volume of the bus. This combined framework is two orders of magnitude faster than the pure computational approach. It is shown that the droplets with diameters less than 250 micrometers are most responsible for the transmission of the virus, as they can travel the entire length of the bus.

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Published date: 5 July 2021

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 509182
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/509182
ISSN: 0304-3894
PURE UUID: 9803d98c-b87a-4d82-adc5-bae6cf2e092b
ORCID for Nader Karimi: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-4559-6245

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Date deposited: 12 Feb 2026 17:40
Last modified: 13 Feb 2026 03:16

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Contributors

Author: Mehrdad Mesgarpour
Author: Javad Mohebbi Najm Abad
Author: Rasool Alizadeh
Author: Somchai Wongwises
Author: Mohammad Hossein Doranehgard
Author: Saeidreza Ghaderi
Author: Nader Karimi ORCID iD

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