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Impact assessment of ship scrubber effluents reveals adverse effects at realistic environmental concentrations—combining a systematic review of whole effluent ecotoxicological studies with dilution modeling

Impact assessment of ship scrubber effluents reveals adverse effects at realistic environmental concentrations—combining a systematic review of whole effluent ecotoxicological studies with dilution modeling
Impact assessment of ship scrubber effluents reveals adverse effects at realistic environmental concentrations—combining a systematic review of whole effluent ecotoxicological studies with dilution modeling
Concerns regarding the potential adverse effects of ship-generated scrubber effluent discharged to the marine environment and the growing number of ecotoxicological experiments have motivated a systematic review of available whole effluent toxicity studies where marine organisms have been exposed to scrubber effluent. All available whole effluent toxicity studies on scrubber effluent exposure were assessed with respect to reliability and relevance, and toxicity metrics including effect concentration and no/lowest observed effect concentration were compiled to determine hazardous concentrations by applying a probabilistic approach. The ecotoxicological impact was assessed by relating the subsequent hazard concentrations, as derived from species sensitivity distribution curves as the potentially affected fraction of species, to estimated environmental concentrations. Environmental concentrations were estimated from previous studies that modeled scrubber effluent dilution or conducted in situ measurement of the dilution of ship-generated waste. The hazardous concentration for 5% of the species was determined at 0.0003%, corresponding to environmentally realistic concentrations. Despite the wide range of confidence limits, the results indicate that the discharge of scrubber effluents, particularly from open loop systems, poses a significant environmental hazard. These findings provide a scientific basis for future risk and impact assessments of scrubber effluents, contributing to the ongoing policy discussion regarding the need to restrict scrubber water discharges.
whole effluent toxicity, Environmental impact, chemical footprint, species sensitivity distribution, potentially affected fraction
1551-3793
Lunde Hermansson, Anna
9ce021a7-51fe-45ae-8342-f38ea82f987e
Nylund, Amanda
27ee5cb5-9a44-4c01-9d80-ac8ecbfe4d54
Hassellöv, Ida-Maja
2800cc48-7524-4833-b58b-76c4ee62e9ae
Abrantes, Nelson
1ae04f63-3729-4e3b-9d64-06f33f5fda75
Ré, Anna
07e2338c-a810-441f-af1d-eaa7d610a212
Chen, Chiau Yu
98abc5fa-fe7b-4739-8cdd-4648922812c2
Granberg, Maria
3c24042e-0d8d-4fda-a8df-182eb9b9f209
Magnusson, Kerstin
6e04fefd-8466-436d-bde2-bc93221173bc
Picone, Marco
55f2a6f7-0b8f-4c39-aebd-ab7de40a41c5
Giubilato, Elisa
1dfa1867-5317-42d1-81da-8597ec13514b
Williams, Ian
c9d674ac-ee69-4937-ab43-17e716266e22
Zapata Restrepo, Lina
2276abeb-952d-4475-9620-bd0885291f64
Ytreberg, Erik
9126bc1e-9acb-4b32-8003-4037eb9beaa5
Lunde Hermansson, Anna
9ce021a7-51fe-45ae-8342-f38ea82f987e
Nylund, Amanda
27ee5cb5-9a44-4c01-9d80-ac8ecbfe4d54
Hassellöv, Ida-Maja
2800cc48-7524-4833-b58b-76c4ee62e9ae
Abrantes, Nelson
1ae04f63-3729-4e3b-9d64-06f33f5fda75
Ré, Anna
07e2338c-a810-441f-af1d-eaa7d610a212
Chen, Chiau Yu
98abc5fa-fe7b-4739-8cdd-4648922812c2
Granberg, Maria
3c24042e-0d8d-4fda-a8df-182eb9b9f209
Magnusson, Kerstin
6e04fefd-8466-436d-bde2-bc93221173bc
Picone, Marco
55f2a6f7-0b8f-4c39-aebd-ab7de40a41c5
Giubilato, Elisa
1dfa1867-5317-42d1-81da-8597ec13514b
Williams, Ian
c9d674ac-ee69-4937-ab43-17e716266e22
Zapata Restrepo, Lina
2276abeb-952d-4475-9620-bd0885291f64
Ytreberg, Erik
9126bc1e-9acb-4b32-8003-4037eb9beaa5

Lunde Hermansson, Anna, Nylund, Amanda, Hassellöv, Ida-Maja, Abrantes, Nelson, Ré, Anna, Chen, Chiau Yu, Granberg, Maria, Magnusson, Kerstin, Picone, Marco, Giubilato, Elisa, Williams, Ian, Zapata Restrepo, Lina and Ytreberg, Erik (2025) Impact assessment of ship scrubber effluents reveals adverse effects at realistic environmental concentrations—combining a systematic review of whole effluent ecotoxicological studies with dilution modeling. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management. (doi:10.1093/inteam/vjaf192).

Record type: Article

Abstract

Concerns regarding the potential adverse effects of ship-generated scrubber effluent discharged to the marine environment and the growing number of ecotoxicological experiments have motivated a systematic review of available whole effluent toxicity studies where marine organisms have been exposed to scrubber effluent. All available whole effluent toxicity studies on scrubber effluent exposure were assessed with respect to reliability and relevance, and toxicity metrics including effect concentration and no/lowest observed effect concentration were compiled to determine hazardous concentrations by applying a probabilistic approach. The ecotoxicological impact was assessed by relating the subsequent hazard concentrations, as derived from species sensitivity distribution curves as the potentially affected fraction of species, to estimated environmental concentrations. Environmental concentrations were estimated from previous studies that modeled scrubber effluent dilution or conducted in situ measurement of the dilution of ship-generated waste. The hazardous concentration for 5% of the species was determined at 0.0003%, corresponding to environmentally realistic concentrations. Despite the wide range of confidence limits, the results indicate that the discharge of scrubber effluents, particularly from open loop systems, poses a significant environmental hazard. These findings provide a scientific basis for future risk and impact assessments of scrubber effluents, contributing to the ongoing policy discussion regarding the need to restrict scrubber water discharges.

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Accepted/In Press date: 10 December 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 14 December 2025
Published date: 14 December 2025
Keywords: whole effluent toxicity, Environmental impact, chemical footprint, species sensitivity distribution, potentially affected fraction

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 509188
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/509188
ISSN: 1551-3793
PURE UUID: c8d75b91-2bdf-47dd-8f1a-b1c06ee57d1a
ORCID for Ian Williams: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-0121-1219

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Date deposited: 12 Feb 2026 17:46
Last modified: 13 Feb 2026 02:40

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Contributors

Author: Anna Lunde Hermansson
Author: Amanda Nylund
Author: Ida-Maja Hassellöv
Author: Nelson Abrantes
Author: Anna Ré
Author: Chiau Yu Chen
Author: Maria Granberg
Author: Kerstin Magnusson
Author: Marco Picone
Author: Elisa Giubilato
Author: Ian Williams ORCID iD
Author: Lina Zapata Restrepo
Author: Erik Ytreberg

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