The major ion chemistry of seawater was closely coupled to the long-term carbon cycle during the Cenozoic
The major ion chemistry of seawater was closely coupled to the long-term carbon cycle during the Cenozoic
A ~fivefold decrease in the atmospheric concentration of CO 2 took place during the Cenozoic. This has often been viewed within the context of silicate weathering changes, although the specific contributions of the potential drivers remain poorly understood. Indeed, it has been alternatively argued that changes in the sea floor spreading rate contributed to the Cenozoic pCO 2 decline, although the magnitude of the decrease means that this is unlikely to account for the entirety of the pCO 2 change. One previously overlooked factor is the concomitant change in the major element composition of seawater, especially the concentration of calcium ([Ca 2+ sw]), which is typically viewed as responding to processes such as weathering, rather than representing a driver in and of itself. Here, we present the first detailed record of the Cenozoic major ion chemistry of seawater and show that [Ca 2+ sw] has the potential to control key processes that impact the carbon cycle. Although our record cannot determine whether CO 2 is causally driven by [Ca 2+ sw], carbon cycle box modeling identifies that this may have been the case. Whether or not [Ca 2+ sw] indeed directly drove pCO 2 during the Cenozoic principally depends on the strength of the silicate weathering feedback and the magnitude of any possible changes in organic carbon burial, both of which could overwhelm a [Ca 2+ sw]-driven impact on the carbon cycle. As such, determining the sensitivity of the weathering–climate relationship on million-year timescales is key to resolving whether factors such as seawater major ion composition are important carbon cycle drivers.
Cenozoic CO, Na/Ca, foraminifera, seawater calcium, seawater chemistry
Evans, David
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Rosenthal, Yair
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Erez, Jonathan
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Hauzer, Hagar
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Cotton, Laura J.
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Zhou, Xiaoli
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Nambiar, Romi
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Stassen, Peter
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Pearson, Paul N.
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Renema, Willem
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Saraswati, Pratul Kumar
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Todd, Jonathan A.
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Müller, Wolfgang
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Affek, Hagit P.
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13 January 2026
Evans, David
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Rosenthal, Yair
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Erez, Jonathan
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Hauzer, Hagar
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Cotton, Laura J.
a6784c65-de61-4c24-82a8-ec20b70f0f27
Zhou, Xiaoli
9eb6cf0e-2d3e-48cb-891d-df21c2248674
Nambiar, Romi
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Stassen, Peter
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Pearson, Paul N.
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Renema, Willem
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Saraswati, Pratul Kumar
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Todd, Jonathan A.
17a46fab-b619-41b3-9255-17d015924013
Müller, Wolfgang
360a71f7-0b47-4ff3-8c32-1912d70401aa
Affek, Hagit P.
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Evans, David, Rosenthal, Yair, Erez, Jonathan, Hauzer, Hagar, Cotton, Laura J., Zhou, Xiaoli, Nambiar, Romi, Stassen, Peter, Pearson, Paul N., Renema, Willem, Saraswati, Pratul Kumar, Todd, Jonathan A., Müller, Wolfgang and Affek, Hagit P.
(2026)
The major ion chemistry of seawater was closely coupled to the long-term carbon cycle during the Cenozoic.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 123 (2), [e2511781122].
(doi:10.1073/pnas.2511781122).
Abstract
A ~fivefold decrease in the atmospheric concentration of CO 2 took place during the Cenozoic. This has often been viewed within the context of silicate weathering changes, although the specific contributions of the potential drivers remain poorly understood. Indeed, it has been alternatively argued that changes in the sea floor spreading rate contributed to the Cenozoic pCO 2 decline, although the magnitude of the decrease means that this is unlikely to account for the entirety of the pCO 2 change. One previously overlooked factor is the concomitant change in the major element composition of seawater, especially the concentration of calcium ([Ca 2+ sw]), which is typically viewed as responding to processes such as weathering, rather than representing a driver in and of itself. Here, we present the first detailed record of the Cenozoic major ion chemistry of seawater and show that [Ca 2+ sw] has the potential to control key processes that impact the carbon cycle. Although our record cannot determine whether CO 2 is causally driven by [Ca 2+ sw], carbon cycle box modeling identifies that this may have been the case. Whether or not [Ca 2+ sw] indeed directly drove pCO 2 during the Cenozoic principally depends on the strength of the silicate weathering feedback and the magnitude of any possible changes in organic carbon burial, both of which could overwhelm a [Ca 2+ sw]-driven impact on the carbon cycle. As such, determining the sensitivity of the weathering–climate relationship on million-year timescales is key to resolving whether factors such as seawater major ion composition are important carbon cycle drivers.
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NaCa_Cenozoic_CO2_PNAS_R1_noTC_noFigs_edits_affiliations_corrected
- Accepted Manuscript
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evans-et-al-2026-the-major-ion-chemistry-of-seawater-was-closely-coupled-to-the-long-term-carbon-cycle-during-the
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More information
Accepted/In Press date: 6 November 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 9 January 2026
Published date: 13 January 2026
Keywords:
Cenozoic CO, Na/Ca, foraminifera, seawater calcium, seawater chemistry
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 509629
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/509629
ISSN: 0027-8424
PURE UUID: ac99a51c-3c75-4c1f-8726-2c1ba64717e5
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Date deposited: 27 Feb 2026 17:35
Last modified: 07 Mar 2026 04:25
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Contributors
Author:
David Evans
Author:
Yair Rosenthal
Author:
Jonathan Erez
Author:
Hagar Hauzer
Author:
Laura J. Cotton
Author:
Xiaoli Zhou
Author:
Romi Nambiar
Author:
Peter Stassen
Author:
Paul N. Pearson
Author:
Willem Renema
Author:
Pratul Kumar Saraswati
Author:
Jonathan A. Todd
Author:
Wolfgang Müller
Author:
Hagit P. Affek
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