The University of Southampton
University of Southampton Institutional Repository

Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective

Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective
Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective
To achieve net zero CO2 emissions by 2050–2060, decarbonising the hard-to-abate sectors such as long-distance, heavy-duty transport is a top priority worldwide. These sectors are particularly challenging to decarbonise due to the use of high-energy-density liquid fossil fuels. In this context, designing low-carbon alternative fuels compatible with existing engines and fuel infrastructures is essential. This work presents an advanced fuel design framework to develop sustainable fuels that meet the high energy density requirements of heavy-duty vehicles. The fuel design approach is built upon a probabilistic perspective by considering a conditional generative model to predict the physicochemical properties of pure compounds and fuel blends with confidence bounds required for decision-making tasks. The probabilistic model is then integrated into an inverse design framework to design fuels with specific requirements. Finally, the fuel design framework is employed to develop new diesel fuel compositions according to the desired targets: ignition quality (cetane number) and sooting tendency (yielding sooting index). The AI-assisted fuel design approach can potentially lead to sustainable liquid fuels that are fully compatible with the existing utilisation equipment and can satisfy the requirements of different application sectors.
Freitas, Rodolfo S.M.
2b9015b2-a864-4dd6-ab5d-6267bdbdefc2
Xing, Zhihao
909cba9b-1af9-4039-af19-369e7693fa02
Rochinha, Fernando A.
d001a583-fa19-47d5-8ee4-a634d795d0e5
Cracknell, Roger F.
5159eeb0-af46-4bcc-917c-759bba248589
Mira, Daniel
e6a46464-dcb8-4197-bf58-09f447f1fb1c
Karimi, Nader
620646d6-27c9-4e1e-948f-f23e4a1e773a
Jiang, Xi
6a11a125-2191-4ed9-9bb1-f96770174daf
Freitas, Rodolfo S.M.
2b9015b2-a864-4dd6-ab5d-6267bdbdefc2
Xing, Zhihao
909cba9b-1af9-4039-af19-369e7693fa02
Rochinha, Fernando A.
d001a583-fa19-47d5-8ee4-a634d795d0e5
Cracknell, Roger F.
5159eeb0-af46-4bcc-917c-759bba248589
Mira, Daniel
e6a46464-dcb8-4197-bf58-09f447f1fb1c
Karimi, Nader
620646d6-27c9-4e1e-948f-f23e4a1e773a
Jiang, Xi
6a11a125-2191-4ed9-9bb1-f96770174daf

Freitas, Rodolfo S.M., Xing, Zhihao, Rochinha, Fernando A., Cracknell, Roger F., Mira, Daniel, Karimi, Nader and Jiang, Xi (2025) Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective. Advances in Applied Energy, 19, [100226]. (doi:10.1016/j.adapen.2025.100226).

Record type: Article

Abstract

To achieve net zero CO2 emissions by 2050–2060, decarbonising the hard-to-abate sectors such as long-distance, heavy-duty transport is a top priority worldwide. These sectors are particularly challenging to decarbonise due to the use of high-energy-density liquid fossil fuels. In this context, designing low-carbon alternative fuels compatible with existing engines and fuel infrastructures is essential. This work presents an advanced fuel design framework to develop sustainable fuels that meet the high energy density requirements of heavy-duty vehicles. The fuel design approach is built upon a probabilistic perspective by considering a conditional generative model to predict the physicochemical properties of pure compounds and fuel blends with confidence bounds required for decision-making tasks. The probabilistic model is then integrated into an inverse design framework to design fuels with specific requirements. Finally, the fuel design framework is employed to develop new diesel fuel compositions according to the desired targets: ignition quality (cetane number) and sooting tendency (yielding sooting index). The AI-assisted fuel design approach can potentially lead to sustainable liquid fuels that are fully compatible with the existing utilisation equipment and can satisfy the requirements of different application sectors.

Text
1-s2.0-S2666792425000204-main - Version of Record
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
Download (5MB)

More information

Accepted/In Press date: 24 May 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 11 June 2025
Published date: 13 June 2025

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 510015
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/510015
PURE UUID: f4654684-ce7e-4085-b6df-0e5fa80e07e5
ORCID for Nader Karimi: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-4559-6245

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 13 Mar 2026 17:46
Last modified: 14 Mar 2026 03:30

Export record

Altmetrics

Contributors

Author: Rodolfo S.M. Freitas
Author: Zhihao Xing
Author: Fernando A. Rochinha
Author: Roger F. Cracknell
Author: Daniel Mira
Author: Nader Karimi ORCID iD
Author: Xi Jiang

Download statistics

Downloads from ePrints over the past year. Other digital versions may also be available to download e.g. from the publisher's website.

View more statistics

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact ePrints Soton: eprints@soton.ac.uk

ePrints Soton supports OAI 2.0 with a base URL of http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2

This repository has been built using EPrints software, developed at the University of Southampton, but available to everyone to use.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. If you continue without changing your settings, we will assume that you are happy to receive cookies on the University of Southampton website.

×