Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective
Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective
To achieve net zero CO2 emissions by 2050–2060, decarbonising the hard-to-abate sectors such as long-distance, heavy-duty transport is a top priority worldwide. These sectors are particularly challenging to decarbonise due to the use of high-energy-density liquid fossil fuels. In this context, designing low-carbon alternative fuels compatible with existing engines and fuel infrastructures is essential. This work presents an advanced fuel design framework to develop sustainable fuels that meet the high energy density requirements of heavy-duty vehicles. The fuel design approach is built upon a probabilistic perspective by considering a conditional generative model to predict the physicochemical properties of pure compounds and fuel blends with confidence bounds required for decision-making tasks. The probabilistic model is then integrated into an inverse design framework to design fuels with specific requirements. Finally, the fuel design framework is employed to develop new diesel fuel compositions according to the desired targets: ignition quality (cetane number) and sooting tendency (yielding sooting index). The AI-assisted fuel design approach can potentially lead to sustainable liquid fuels that are fully compatible with the existing utilisation equipment and can satisfy the requirements of different application sectors.
Freitas, Rodolfo S.M.
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Xing, Zhihao
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Rochinha, Fernando A.
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Cracknell, Roger F.
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Mira, Daniel
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Karimi, Nader
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Jiang, Xi
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13 June 2025
Freitas, Rodolfo S.M.
2b9015b2-a864-4dd6-ab5d-6267bdbdefc2
Xing, Zhihao
909cba9b-1af9-4039-af19-369e7693fa02
Rochinha, Fernando A.
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Cracknell, Roger F.
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Mira, Daniel
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Karimi, Nader
620646d6-27c9-4e1e-948f-f23e4a1e773a
Jiang, Xi
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Freitas, Rodolfo S.M., Xing, Zhihao, Rochinha, Fernando A., Cracknell, Roger F., Mira, Daniel, Karimi, Nader and Jiang, Xi
(2025)
Pathways to sustainable fuel design from a probabilistic deep learning perspective.
Advances in Applied Energy, 19, [100226].
(doi:10.1016/j.adapen.2025.100226).
Abstract
To achieve net zero CO2 emissions by 2050–2060, decarbonising the hard-to-abate sectors such as long-distance, heavy-duty transport is a top priority worldwide. These sectors are particularly challenging to decarbonise due to the use of high-energy-density liquid fossil fuels. In this context, designing low-carbon alternative fuels compatible with existing engines and fuel infrastructures is essential. This work presents an advanced fuel design framework to develop sustainable fuels that meet the high energy density requirements of heavy-duty vehicles. The fuel design approach is built upon a probabilistic perspective by considering a conditional generative model to predict the physicochemical properties of pure compounds and fuel blends with confidence bounds required for decision-making tasks. The probabilistic model is then integrated into an inverse design framework to design fuels with specific requirements. Finally, the fuel design framework is employed to develop new diesel fuel compositions according to the desired targets: ignition quality (cetane number) and sooting tendency (yielding sooting index). The AI-assisted fuel design approach can potentially lead to sustainable liquid fuels that are fully compatible with the existing utilisation equipment and can satisfy the requirements of different application sectors.
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Accepted/In Press date: 24 May 2025
e-pub ahead of print date: 11 June 2025
Published date: 13 June 2025
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 510015
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/510015
PURE UUID: f4654684-ce7e-4085-b6df-0e5fa80e07e5
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Date deposited: 13 Mar 2026 17:46
Last modified: 14 Mar 2026 03:30
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Contributors
Author:
Rodolfo S.M. Freitas
Author:
Zhihao Xing
Author:
Fernando A. Rochinha
Author:
Roger F. Cracknell
Author:
Daniel Mira
Author:
Nader Karimi
Author:
Xi Jiang
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