Application of small area estimation methods to labour force statistics in Ireland

Abstract

This thesis reviews small area estimation methods for the purpose of estimating labour force indicators of detailed geographical and demographic subgroups in Ireland. It focuses on the area level model, one of the most popular SAE methods used for this application in other countries. It proposes an alternative to the standard formulation of this model, termed the Sample Covariate (SC) area level model. This model is evaluated to determine where it can provide improvements over the standard model. Several models are implemented to produce disaggregated Irish labour force estimates. These include two standard area level models, one of which used the outputs from SPREE estimation as auxiliaries. Data issues prevent the SC model from being applied as formulated, so an adjusted version of it, the SC-SPREE, is implemented instead. These three models are evaluated and recommendations developed for future applications of small area methods to labour force statistics in the Irish context.

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Identifiers

ORCID for Jillian Delaney: orcid.org/0009-0008-1117-0562

ORCID for Li-Chun Zhang: orcid.org/0000-0002-3944-9484

ORCID for Angela Luna Hernandez: orcid.org/0000-0001-8629-1918

ORCID for Francesco Pantalone: orcid.org/0000-0002-7943-7007

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