Marine science for strategic planning and management: the requirement for estuaries
Marine science for strategic planning and management: the requirement for estuaries
Achieving such a programme will need to take advantage of research at a number of different spatial and temporal scales. These span from global climate change initiatives, through catchment and estuary wide studies to work on specific features (banks, mudflats, etc.). They necessarily consider changes over time scales of seconds to aeons. Realistically, for strategic planning and management, the goal is to be able to predict, with a reasonable degree of confidence over a 20–50 year time horizon. Given the highly non-linear and complex adaptive nature of estuary systems, absolute predictions may not be possible. Rather, it will be necessary to identify probable/possible outcomes, or system states, as a basis for guiding management actions. This, in itself, will require managers and planners to move away from a prescriptive interventionist approach towards a more adaptive one.
209-219
Townend, Ian
f72e5186-cae8-41fd-8712-d5746f78328e
May 2002
Townend, Ian
f72e5186-cae8-41fd-8712-d5746f78328e
Townend, Ian
(2002)
Marine science for strategic planning and management: the requirement for estuaries.
Marine Policy, 26 (3), .
(doi:10.1016/S0308-597X(02)00003-9).
Abstract
Achieving such a programme will need to take advantage of research at a number of different spatial and temporal scales. These span from global climate change initiatives, through catchment and estuary wide studies to work on specific features (banks, mudflats, etc.). They necessarily consider changes over time scales of seconds to aeons. Realistically, for strategic planning and management, the goal is to be able to predict, with a reasonable degree of confidence over a 20–50 year time horizon. Given the highly non-linear and complex adaptive nature of estuary systems, absolute predictions may not be possible. Rather, it will be necessary to identify probable/possible outcomes, or system states, as a basis for guiding management actions. This, in itself, will require managers and planners to move away from a prescriptive interventionist approach towards a more adaptive one.
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Published date: May 2002
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Local EPrints ID: 53098
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/53098
PURE UUID: aa6a018a-7c47-4ff9-9c6b-c52aed56ac93
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Date deposited: 11 Jul 2008
Last modified: 16 Mar 2024 03:24
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