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Marine science for strategic planning and management: the requirement for estuaries

Townend, Ian (2002) Marine science for strategic planning and management: the requirement for estuaries Marine Policy, 26, (3), pp. 209-219. (doi:10.1016/S0308-597X(02)00003-9).

Record type: Article


Achieving such a programme will need to take advantage of research at a number of different spatial and temporal scales. These span from global climate change initiatives, through catchment and estuary wide studies to work on specific features (banks, mudflats, etc.). They necessarily consider changes over time scales of seconds to aeons. Realistically, for strategic planning and management, the goal is to be able to predict, with a reasonable degree of confidence over a 20–50 year time horizon. Given the highly non-linear and complex adaptive nature of estuary systems, absolute predictions may not be possible. Rather, it will be necessary to identify probable/possible outcomes, or system states, as a basis for guiding management actions. This, in itself, will require managers and planners to move away from a prescriptive interventionist approach towards a more adaptive one.

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Published date: May 2002


Local EPrints ID: 53098
PURE UUID: aa6a018a-7c47-4ff9-9c6b-c52aed56ac93
ORCID for Ian Townend: ORCID iD

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Date deposited: 11 Jul 2008
Last modified: 17 Jul 2017 14:39

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