R. A. Fisher on Bayes and Bayes’ Theorem
R. A. Fisher on Bayes and Bayes’ Theorem
Ronald Fisher believed that "The theory of inverse probability is founded upon an error, and must be wholly rejected." This note describes how Fisher divided responsibility for the error between Bayes and Laplace. Bayes he admired for formulating the problem, producing a solution and then withholding it; Laplace he blamed for promulgating the theory and for distorting the concept of probability to accommodate the theory. At the end of his life Fisher added a refinement: in the Essay Bayes had anticipated one of Fisher's own fiducial arguments.
Ronald Fisher, Thomas Bayes, Pierre-Simon Laplace, Dennis Lindley, Bayes' Theorem, Inverse probability
161-170
Aldrich, John
206ecaac-00de-46ff-98d7-0b87668859de
2008
Aldrich, John
206ecaac-00de-46ff-98d7-0b87668859de
Aldrich, John
(2008)
R. A. Fisher on Bayes and Bayes’ Theorem.
Bayesian Analysis, 3 (1), .
(doi:10.1214/08-BA306).
Abstract
Ronald Fisher believed that "The theory of inverse probability is founded upon an error, and must be wholly rejected." This note describes how Fisher divided responsibility for the error between Bayes and Laplace. Bayes he admired for formulating the problem, producing a solution and then withholding it; Laplace he blamed for promulgating the theory and for distorting the concept of probability to accommodate the theory. At the end of his life Fisher added a refinement: in the Essay Bayes had anticipated one of Fisher's own fiducial arguments.
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Published date: 2008
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Keywords:
Ronald Fisher, Thomas Bayes, Pierre-Simon Laplace, Dennis Lindley, Bayes' Theorem, Inverse probability
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Local EPrints ID: 63034
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/63034
ISSN: 1931-6690
PURE UUID: 0aabfb28-ddfb-497c-9e2f-914cb5add359
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Date deposited: 03 Sep 2008
Last modified: 20 Dec 2019 18:28
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John Aldrich
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