System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies
System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies
This paper describes the development of a System Dynamics model to study the
diffusion and control of disease transmitted by the mosquito Aedes albopictus in Italy. This insect
is one of the world’s most invasive species, due to the global trade in used tyres, an efficient
means of transport of mosquito eggs because they frequently contain small deposits of water. Ae.
albopictus is very adaptable to climate change and is spreading rapidly into temperate zones. An
outbreak of the “tropical” disease Chikungunya in Italy in 2007 proved that Europe is definitely at
risk for Aedes-borne diseases. Although the work described in this paper concerns an application
in Italy, it can be adapted to tackle other mosquito-borne diseases in other European countries
University of Southampton
Brailsford, S.C.
634585ff-c828-46ca-b33d-7ac017dda04f
Berchi, R.
4cef2541-fa47-4820-9fc8-689444eaca68
De Angelis, V.
79be03c7-6962-4ae7-b1b8-6e71096f4ff0
Mecoli, M.
5286db23-28d8-4719-bb99-cc1cf5bd30a7
2009
Brailsford, S.C.
634585ff-c828-46ca-b33d-7ac017dda04f
Berchi, R.
4cef2541-fa47-4820-9fc8-689444eaca68
De Angelis, V.
79be03c7-6962-4ae7-b1b8-6e71096f4ff0
Mecoli, M.
5286db23-28d8-4719-bb99-cc1cf5bd30a7
Brailsford, S.C., Berchi, R., De Angelis, V. and Mecoli, M.
(2009)
System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies
(Discussion Papers in Centre for Operational Research, Management Science and Information Systems)
Southampton, UK.
University of Southampton
10pp.
Record type:
Monograph
(Discussion Paper)
Abstract
This paper describes the development of a System Dynamics model to study the
diffusion and control of disease transmitted by the mosquito Aedes albopictus in Italy. This insect
is one of the world’s most invasive species, due to the global trade in used tyres, an efficient
means of transport of mosquito eggs because they frequently contain small deposits of water. Ae.
albopictus is very adaptable to climate change and is spreading rapidly into temperate zones. An
outbreak of the “tropical” disease Chikungunya in Italy in 2007 proved that Europe is definitely at
risk for Aedes-borne diseases. Although the work described in this paper concerns an application
in Italy, it can be adapted to tackle other mosquito-borne diseases in other European countries
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More information
Published date: 2009
Additional Information:
Rapporto Tecnico N. 14, Dipartimento dt Statistica, Probabilita e Statistiche Applicate, University
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 71351
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/71351
PURE UUID: 9f87af2e-e31e-4cdc-a207-2f84e77a8366
Catalogue record
Date deposited: 05 Feb 2010
Last modified: 23 Jul 2022 01:35
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Contributors
Author:
R. Berchi
Author:
V. De Angelis
Author:
M. Mecoli
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