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System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies

System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies
System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies
This paper describes the development of a System Dynamics model to study the diffusion and control of disease transmitted by the mosquito Aedes albopictus in Italy. This insect is one of the world’s most invasive species, due to the global trade in used tyres, an efficient means of transport of mosquito eggs because they frequently contain small deposits of water. Ae. albopictus is very adaptable to climate change and is spreading rapidly into temperate zones. An outbreak of the “tropical” disease Chikungunya in Italy in 2007 proved that Europe is definitely at risk for Aedes-borne diseases. Although the work described in this paper concerns an application in Italy, it can be adapted to tackle other mosquito-borne diseases in other European countries
University of Southampton
Brailsford, S.C.
634585ff-c828-46ca-b33d-7ac017dda04f
Berchi, R.
4cef2541-fa47-4820-9fc8-689444eaca68
De Angelis, V.
79be03c7-6962-4ae7-b1b8-6e71096f4ff0
Mecoli, M.
5286db23-28d8-4719-bb99-cc1cf5bd30a7
Brailsford, S.C.
634585ff-c828-46ca-b33d-7ac017dda04f
Berchi, R.
4cef2541-fa47-4820-9fc8-689444eaca68
De Angelis, V.
79be03c7-6962-4ae7-b1b8-6e71096f4ff0
Mecoli, M.
5286db23-28d8-4719-bb99-cc1cf5bd30a7

Brailsford, S.C., Berchi, R., De Angelis, V. and Mecoli, M. (2009) System dynamics models to assess the risk of mosquito-borne diseases and to evaluate control policies (Discussion Papers in Centre for Operational Research, Management Science and Information Systems) Southampton, UK. University of Southampton 10pp.

Record type: Monograph (Discussion Paper)

Abstract

This paper describes the development of a System Dynamics model to study the diffusion and control of disease transmitted by the mosquito Aedes albopictus in Italy. This insect is one of the world’s most invasive species, due to the global trade in used tyres, an efficient means of transport of mosquito eggs because they frequently contain small deposits of water. Ae. albopictus is very adaptable to climate change and is spreading rapidly into temperate zones. An outbreak of the “tropical” disease Chikungunya in Italy in 2007 proved that Europe is definitely at risk for Aedes-borne diseases. Although the work described in this paper concerns an application in Italy, it can be adapted to tackle other mosquito-borne diseases in other European countries

Full text not available from this repository.

More information

Published date: 2009
Additional Information: Rapporto Tecnico N. 14, Dipartimento dt Statistica, Probabilita e Statistiche Applicate, University

Identifiers

Local EPrints ID: 71351
URI: https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/71351
PURE UUID: 9f87af2e-e31e-4cdc-a207-2f84e77a8366
ORCID for S.C. Brailsford: ORCID iD orcid.org/0000-0002-6665-8230

Catalogue record

Date deposited: 05 Feb 2010
Last modified: 01 Dec 2018 01:36

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