Ní Bhrolcháin, Máire
Demographic decomposition of the marriage market
in England and Wales 1911-1991 , Southampton, GB Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute 28pp.
(S3RI Applications and Policy Working Papers, A04/06).
A method for decomposing partner availability into its demographic components (preferences, previous birth trends, migration and mortality, and structure by marital status) is presented and applied to marriage market estimates for selected census years 1911-1991 in England and Wales. Preferences are the primary determinant of partner supply, but striking exceptions occur. Contrary to widespread assumption, variation in cohort sizes resulting from past fertility trends makes the smallest contribution to partner availability. Mortality and migration are next in order and the two marital status components are generally the largest in size. Determinants of intercensal change are similar to the cross-sectional picture.
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