Impacts of rising temperatures and farm management practices on global yields of 18 crops

Abstract

Understanding the impact of changes in temperature and precipitation on crop yields is a vital step in developing policy and management options to feed the world. As most existing studies are limited to a few staple crops, we implemented global statistical models to examine the influence of weather and management practices on the yields of 18 crops, accounting for 70% of crop production by area and 65% by calorific intake. Focusing on the impact of temperature, we found considerable heterogeneity in the responses of yields across crops and countries. Irrigation was found to alleviate negative implications from temperature increases. Countries where increasing temperature causes the most negative impacts are typically the most food insecure, with the lowest calorific food supply and average crop yield. International action must be coordinated to raise yields in these countries through improvement and modernization of agricultural practices to counteract future adverse impacts of climate change.

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Identifiers

ORCID for Vincenzo De Lipsis: orcid.org/0000-0003-1728-177X

ORCID for Robert Holland: orcid.org/0000-0002-3038-9227

ORCID for Felix Eigenbrod: orcid.org/0000-0001-8982-824X

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