Five-year outcomes of PCI and CABG for multivessel disease: a national population-based study of regional practice
Five-year outcomes of PCI and CABG for multivessel disease: a national population-based study of regional practice
Aims: to study how the regional preferences for less invasive multivessel coronary revascularization would adversely affect long-term clinical outcomes.
Methods: a national retrospective cohort study utilizing instrumental variable analysis to estimate the causal effect of revascularization strategy.
England, using national linked Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) with office of national statistic mortality data from 2007 to 2020.
The analysis included 173 771 individuals with complete 5-year follow-up who underwent multivessel revascularization for coronary artery disease. Of this cohort, 63 189 (36.4%) received percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and 110 582 (63.6%) received coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). In total, 37 894 (21.8%) participants were female, and 153 048 (88.2%) were of White ethnicity.
The exposure was the preference between multivessel PCI or CABG. The regional ratio of CABG-to-PCI procedures was used as the instrumental variable.
The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, assessed in-hospital and up to 5 years post-procedure.
Results: the all-cause mortality was 2.1% (n & 3587) in-hospital and 16.4% (n & 28 474) at 5 years. The proportion of patients undergoing CABG varied significantly across regions (25.4–82.3%), demonstrating validity as an instrumental variable. In the primary analysis, CABG was associated with higher in-hospital all-cause mortality vs. PCI [average treatment effect (ATE), 1.1%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.6–1.6%] but lower 5-year all-cause mortality (ATE, −5.4%; 95% CI, −7.0 to −3.7%). Adjusted hazard ratios stratified by quartiles of regional CABG-to-PCI ratios showed an increase in in-hospital mortality but a decrease in 5-year mortality as the proportion of CABG increased.
Conclusion: regional preferences for revascularization with multivessel PCI result in lower in-hospital all-cause mortality, a key quality metric, but worse long-term outcomes for individuals with multivessel coronary artery disease.
Rashid, Muhammad
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Lai, Florence
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Pathak, Suraj
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Liao, Weiqi
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Aujla, Hardeep
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Murray, Sarah
007f14bb-9c90-4bc3-b4fb-70426bec186b
Dearling, Jeremy
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Cheng, Ann
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Grant, Robert
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Curzen, Nick
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Mamas, Mamas A.
0a315e38-554a-4375-a339-52da9e708cff
Murphy, Gavin J.
fafc19bf-facb-49ef-9dcc-d106b70fae9f
17 April 2026
Rashid, Muhammad
3109b6b2-58f6-43d5-97aa-a53be631a96a
Lai, Florence
226fc538-f1db-4d94-a619-266133ebf58a
Pathak, Suraj
d9a17a31-8a22-4cc1-b34d-41b346d5fffb
Liao, Weiqi
41e4128d-3f78-4d97-8d61-52eebd746f5c
Aujla, Hardeep
8a0bdad2-55d0-41a2-9cf9-02ea7cb16db4
Murray, Sarah
007f14bb-9c90-4bc3-b4fb-70426bec186b
Dearling, Jeremy
d47f4788-b5ee-484e-8779-7c8fdaa71f18
Cheng, Ann
c51397d3-a410-4068-a0e0-2b38867f77ea
Grant, Robert
59eea914-af4f-447e-a68a-4293e4c82244
Curzen, Nick
70f3ea49-51b1-418f-8e56-8210aef1abf4
Mamas, Mamas A.
0a315e38-554a-4375-a339-52da9e708cff
Murphy, Gavin J.
fafc19bf-facb-49ef-9dcc-d106b70fae9f
Rashid, Muhammad, Lai, Florence, Pathak, Suraj, Liao, Weiqi, Aujla, Hardeep, Murray, Sarah, Dearling, Jeremy, Cheng, Ann, Grant, Robert, Curzen, Nick, Mamas, Mamas A. and Murphy, Gavin J.
(2026)
Five-year outcomes of PCI and CABG for multivessel disease: a national population-based study of regional practice.
European Heart Journal, 6 (2), [oeag043].
(doi:10.1093/ehjopen/oeag043).
Abstract
Aims: to study how the regional preferences for less invasive multivessel coronary revascularization would adversely affect long-term clinical outcomes.
Methods: a national retrospective cohort study utilizing instrumental variable analysis to estimate the causal effect of revascularization strategy.
England, using national linked Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) with office of national statistic mortality data from 2007 to 2020.
The analysis included 173 771 individuals with complete 5-year follow-up who underwent multivessel revascularization for coronary artery disease. Of this cohort, 63 189 (36.4%) received percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and 110 582 (63.6%) received coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). In total, 37 894 (21.8%) participants were female, and 153 048 (88.2%) were of White ethnicity.
The exposure was the preference between multivessel PCI or CABG. The regional ratio of CABG-to-PCI procedures was used as the instrumental variable.
The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, assessed in-hospital and up to 5 years post-procedure.
Results: the all-cause mortality was 2.1% (n & 3587) in-hospital and 16.4% (n & 28 474) at 5 years. The proportion of patients undergoing CABG varied significantly across regions (25.4–82.3%), demonstrating validity as an instrumental variable. In the primary analysis, CABG was associated with higher in-hospital all-cause mortality vs. PCI [average treatment effect (ATE), 1.1%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.6–1.6%] but lower 5-year all-cause mortality (ATE, −5.4%; 95% CI, −7.0 to −3.7%). Adjusted hazard ratios stratified by quartiles of regional CABG-to-PCI ratios showed an increase in in-hospital mortality but a decrease in 5-year mortality as the proportion of CABG increased.
Conclusion: regional preferences for revascularization with multivessel PCI result in lower in-hospital all-cause mortality, a key quality metric, but worse long-term outcomes for individuals with multivessel coronary artery disease.
Text
CABG versus PCI HES_EHJO
- Accepted Manuscript
Text
oeag043
- Version of Record
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Accepted/In Press date: 17 March 2026
e-pub ahead of print date: 18 March 2026
Published date: 17 April 2026
Identifiers
Local EPrints ID: 511231
URI: http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/id/eprint/511231
ISSN: 0195-668X
PURE UUID: 6bded82f-5ddc-43be-b12a-ecfd062fd3ac
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Date deposited: 08 May 2026 16:44
Last modified: 09 May 2026 01:43
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Contributors
Author:
Muhammad Rashid
Author:
Florence Lai
Author:
Suraj Pathak
Author:
Weiqi Liao
Author:
Hardeep Aujla
Author:
Sarah Murray
Author:
Jeremy Dearling
Author:
Ann Cheng
Author:
Robert Grant
Author:
Mamas A. Mamas
Author:
Gavin J. Murphy
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